calculo de poblaciones

8/16/2019 calculo de poblaciones

1/66

METODO INEGIAÑO POBLACION

1990 2,4491995 3,8342000 8,3432005 10,100

2010 13,8602015 15,720

pa 15,720pi 2,449n 25N 1 0.1

! 7.721

p" 2016 ! 16,934

METODO GEOMET#ICO PO# PO#CENTA$EAÑO % &ABITANTE' INC#EMENTO ( INC#EMTO

1990 2,4491995 3,834 1,385 56.552000 8,343 4,509 117.612005 10,100 1,757 21.062010 13,860 3,760 37.232015 15,720 1,860 13.42

)*+a ( ! 245.87( p! 9.835

p" 2016! 17,266

METODO A#ITMETICO

I! 530.84p" 2016! 16,251


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METODO MALT&'AÑO % &ABITANTE' -ALO# DELTA

1990 2,4491995 3,834 0.572000 8,343 1.182005 10,100 0.21

2010 13,860 0.372015 15,720 0.13

! 2.46A/4 ! 0.49

P" 2016 ! 16,361

METODO GEOMET#ICO PO# INC#EMENTOAÑO % &ABITANTE' LOG Pa LOG P" LOG P"LOG Pa

1990 2,449 3.389 3.584 0.195

1995 3,834 3.584 3.921 0.3382000 8,343 3.921 4.004 0.0832005 10,100 4.004 4.142 0.1372010 13,860 4.142 4.196 0.0552015 15,720 4.196 !

p+ !LOG p" 2016 !

p" 2016 !

INEGI 16,934

M.G.P 17,266M.A#IT 16,251M.M 16,361M.G.I 16,934

P" 2016 ! 16,743


3/66


4/66

LOG 1/50.0389

0.06750.01660.02750.01090.1615

0.0324.229

16,934


5/66


1990 2,4491995 3,8342000 8,343

2005 10,1002010 13,8602015 15,7202016 16,743

pa 16,743pi 2,449n 26N 1 0.1

! 7.674

p" 2017 ! 18,028


1990 2,4491995 3,834 1,385 56.552000 8,343 4,509 117.612005 10,100 1,757 21.062010 13,860 3,760 37.232015 15,720 1,860 13.422016 16,743 1,023 6.51


6/66

)*+a ( ! 252.37( p! 9.707

p" 2017 ! 18,368

METODO A#ITMETICO

I! 549.77p" 2017 ! 17,293


1990 2,4491995 3,834 0.572000 8,343 1.182005 10,100 0.212010 13,860 0.37

2015 15,720 0.132016 16,743 0.07

! 2.52A/6 ! 0.42

p" 2017 ! 17,341


1990 2,449 3.389 3.584 0.1951995 3,834 3.584 3.921 0.338

2000 8,343 3.921 4.004 0.0832005 10,100 4.004 4.142 0.1372010 13,860 4.142 4.196 0.0552015 15,720 4.196 4.224 0.0272016 16,743 4.224


7/66

!

/6 !LOG p" 2017 !

p" 2017 !INEGI 18,028M.G.P 18,368M.A#IT 17,293M.M 17,341M.G.I 17,851

p" 2017 ! 17,740


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9/66

LOG 1/50.03890.0675

0.01660.02750.01090.0055


10/66

0.1670

0.0284.252

17,851


11/66


1990 2,4491995 3,8342000 8,343

2005 10,1002010 13,8602015 15,7202016 16,7432017 17,740

pa 17,740pi 2,449n 27N 1 0.1

! 7.609

p" 2018 ! 19,090


1990 2,4491995 3,834 1,385 56.552000 8,343 4,509 117.612005 10,100 1,757 21.062010 13,860 3,760 37.232015 15,720 1,860 13.422016 16,743 1,023 6.512017 17,740 997 5.95


12/66

)*+a ( ! 258.33( p! 9.568

p" 2018 ! 19,437

METODO A#ITMETICO

I! 566.33p" 2018 ! 18,306


1990 2,4491995 3,834 0.572000 8,343 1.182005 10,100 0.212010 13,860 0.37

2015 15,720 0.132016 16,743 0.072017 17,740 0.06

! 2.58A/7 ! 0.37

p" 2018 ! 18,306


1990 2,449 3.389 3.584 0.1951995 3,834 3.584 3.921 0.338

2000 8,343 3.921 4.004 0.0832005 10,100 4.004 4.142 0.1372010 13,860 4.142 4.196 0.0552015 15,720 4.196 4.224 0.0272016 16,743 4.224 4.249 0.0252017 17,740 4.249


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!

/7 !LOG p" 2018 !


p" 2018 ! 18,723


14/66


15/66

LOG 1/50.03890.0675

0.01660.02750.01090.00550.0050


16/66

0.1720

0.0254.274

18,773


17/66


1990 2,4491995 3,8342000 8,343

2005 10,1002010 13,8602015 15,7202016 16,7432017 17,7402018 18,723

pa 18,723pi 2,449n 28N 1 0.1

! 7.535

p" 2019 ! 20,134


1990 2,4491995 3,834 1,385 56.552000 8,343 4,509 117.612005 10,100 1,757 21.062010 13,860 3,760 37.232015 15,720 1,860 13.422016 16,743 1,023 6.512017 17,740 997 5.952018 18,723 983 5.54


18/66

)*+a ( ! 263.87( p! 9.424

p" 2019 ! 20,487

METODO A#ITMETICO

I! 581.21p" 2019 ! 19,304


1990 2,4491995 3,834 0.572000 8,343 1.182005 10,100 0.212010 13,860 0.37

2015 15,720 0.132016 16,743 0.072017 17,740 0.062018 18,723 0.06

! 2.64A/8 ! 0.33

p" 2019 ! 19,264


1990 2,449 3.389 3.584 0.1951995 3,834 3.584 3.921 0.338

2000 8,343 3.921 4.004 0.0832005 10,100 4.004 4.142 0.1372010 13,860 4.142 4.196 0.0552015 15,720 4.196 4.224 0.0272016 16,743 4.224 4.249 0.0252017 17,740 4.249 4.272 0.0232018 18,723 4.272


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!

/8 !LOG p" 2019 !


p" 2019 ! 19,712


20/66


21/66

LOG 1/50.03890.0675

0.01660.02750.01090.00550.00500.0047


22/66

0.1767

0.0224.294

19,699


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1990 2,4491995 3,8342000 8,343

2005 10,1002010 13,8602015 15,7202016 16,7432017 17,7402018 18,7232019 19,712

pa 19,712pi 2,449n 29N 1 0.1

! 7.457

p" 2020 ! 21,182


1990 2,4491995 3,834 1,385 56.552000 8,343 4,509 117.612005 10,100 1,757 21.062010 13,860 3,760 37.232015 15,720 1,860 13.422016 16,743 1,023 6.512017 17,740 997 5.952018 18,723 983 5.542019 19,712 990 5.29


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)*+a ( ! 269.15( p! 9.281

p" 2020 ! 21,542

METODO A#ITMETICO

I! 595.29p" 2020 ! 20,308


1990 2,4491995 3,834 0.572000 8,343 1.182005 10,100 0.212010 13,860 0.37

2015 15,720 0.132016 16,743 0.072017 17,740 0.062018 18,723 0.062019 19,712 0.05

! 2.69A/9 ! 0.30

p" 2020 ! 20,235


1990 2,449 3.389 3.584 0.1951995 3,834 3.584 3.921 0.338

2000 8,343 3.921 4.004 0.0832005 10,100 4.004 4.142 0.1372010 13,860 4.142 4.196 0.0552015 15,720 4.196 4.224 0.0272016 16,743 4.224 4.249 0.0252017 17,740 4.249 4.272 0.0232018 18,723 4.272 4.295 0.0222019 19,712 4.295


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!

/9 !LOG p" 2020 !


p" 2020 ! 20,712


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27/66

LOG 1/50.03890.0675

0.01660.02750.01090.00550.00500.00470.0045


28/66

0.1811

0.0204.315

20,647


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1990 2,4491995 3,8342000 8,343

2005 10,1002010 13,8602015 15,7202016 16,7432017 17,7402018 18,7232019 19,7122020 20,712

pa 20,712pi 2,449n 30N 1 0.1

! 7.376

p" 2021 ! 22,240


1990 2,4491995 3,834 1,385 56.552000 8,343 4,509 117.612005 10,100 1,757 21.062010 13,860 3,760 37.232015 15,720 1,860 13.422016 16,743 1,023 6.512017 17,740 997 5.952018 18,723 983 5.542019 19,712 990 5.292020 20,712 1,000 5.07


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)*+a ( ! 274.23( p! 9.141

p" 2021 ! 22,606

METODO A#ITMETICO

I! 608.78p" 2021 ! 21,321


1990 2,4491995 3,834 0.572000 8,343 1.182005 10,100 0.212010 13,860 0.37

2015 15,720 0.132016 16,743 0.072017 17,740 0.062018 18,723 0.062019 19,712 0.052020 20,712 0.05

! 2.74A/10 ! 0.27

p" 2021 ! 21,220


1990 2,449 3.389 3.584 0.1951995 3,834 3.584 3.921 0.338

2000 8,343 3.921 4.004 0.0832005 10,100 4.004 4.142 0.1372010 13,860 4.142 4.196 0.0552015 15,720 4.196 4.224 0.0272016 16,743 4.224 4.249 0.0252017 17,740 4.249 4.272 0.0232018 18,723 4.272 4.295 0.0222019 19,712 4.295 4.316 0.0212020 20,712 4.316


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!

/10 !LOG p" 2021 !


p" 2021 ! 21,726


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LOG 1/50.03890.0675

0.01660.02750.01090.00550.00500.00470.00450.0043


34/66

0.1854

0.0194.335

21,616


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1990 2,4491995 3,8342000 8,343

2005 10,1002010 13,8602015 15,7202016 16,7432017 17,7402018 18,7232019 19,7122020 20,7122021 21,726

pa 21,726pi 2,449n 31N 1 0.1

! 7.295

p" 2022 ! 23,311


1990 2,4491995 3,834 1,385 56.552000 8,343 4,509 117.612005 10,100 1,757 21.062010 13,860 3,760 37.232015 15,720 1,860 13.422016 16,743 1,023 6.512017 17,740 997 5.952018 18,723 983 5.542019 19,712 990 5.292020 20,712 1,000 5.072021 21,726 1,013 4.89


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2021 21,726 4.337

!

/11 !LOG p" 2022 !


p" 2022 ! 22,755


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LOG 1/50.03890.0675

0.01660.02750.01090.00550.00500.00470.00450.00430.0041


40/66

0.1896

0.0174.354

22,605


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1990 2,4491995 3,8342000 8,343

2005 10,1002010 13,8602015 15,7202016 16,7432017 17,7402018 18,7232019 19,7122020 20,7122021 21,7262022 22,755

pa 22,755pi 2,449n 32N 1 0.1

! 7.214

p" 2023 ! 24,396


1990 2,4491995 3,834 1,385 56.552000 8,343 4,509 117.612005 10,100 1,757 21.062010 13,860 3,760 37.232015 15,720 1,860 13.422016 16,743 1,023 6.512017 17,740 997 5.952018 18,723 983 5.542019 19,712 990 5.292020 20,712 1,000 5.072021 21,726 1,013 4.892022 22,755 1,029 4.74


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)*+a ( ! 283.86( p! 8.870

p" 2023 ! 24,773

METODO A#ITMETICO

I! 634.55p" 2023 ! 23,389


1990 2,4491995 3,834 0.572000 8,343 1.182005 10,100 0.212010 13,860 0.37

2015 15,720 0.132016 16,743 0.072017 17,740 0.062018 18,723 0.062019 19,712 0.052020 20,712 0.052021 21,726 0.052022 22,755 0.05

! 2.84A/12 ! 0.24

p" 2023 ! 23,243


1990 2,449 3.389 3.584 0.1951995 3,834 3.584 3.921 0.338

2000 8,343 3.921 4.004 0.0832005 10,100 4.004 4.142 0.1372010 13,860 4.142 4.196 0.0552015 15,720 4.196 4.224 0.0272016 16,743 4.224 4.249 0.0252017 17,740 4.249 4.272 0.0232018 18,723 4.272 4.295 0.0222019 19,712 4.295 4.316 0.0212020 20,712 4.316 4.337 0.021


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2021 21,726 4.337 4.357 0.0202022 22,755 4.357

!

/12 !LOG p" 2023 !


p" 2023 ! 23,800


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45/66

LOG 1/50.03890.0675

0.01660.02750.01090.00550.00500.00470.00450.00430.0041


46/66

0.0040

0.1936

0.0164.373

23,616


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1990 2,4491995 3,8342000 8,343

2005 10,1002010 13,8602015 15,7202016 16,7432017 17,7402018 18,7232019 19,7122020 20,7122021 21,7262022 22,755

2023 23,800

pa 23,800pi 2,449n 33N 1 0.1

! 7.134

p" 2024 ! 25,498


1990 2,4491995 3,834 1,385 56.552000 8,343 4,509 117.612005 10,100 1,757 21.062010 13,860 3,760 37.232015 15,720 1,860 13.422016 16,743 1,023 6.512017 17,740 997 5.952018 18,723 983 5.542019 19,712 990 5.292020 20,712 1,000 5.072021 21,726 1,013 4.892022 22,755 1,029 4.742023 23,800 1,046 4.60


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)*+a ( ! 288.45( p! 8.741

p" 2024 ! 25,881

METODO A#ITMETICO

I! 647.01p" 2024 ! 24,447


1990 2,4491995 3,834 0.572000 8,343 1.182005 10,100 0.212010 13,860 0.37

2015 15,720 0.132016 16,743 0.072017 17,740 0.062018 18,723 0.062019 19,712 0.052020 20,712 0.052021 21,726 0.052022 22,755 0.052023 23,800 0.05

! 2.88A/13 ! 0.22

p" 2024 ! 24,282


1990 2,449 3.389 3.584 0.1951995 3,834 3.584 3.921 0.338

2000 8,343 3.921 4.004 0.0832005 10,100 4.004 4.142 0.1372010 13,860 4.142 4.196 0.0552015 15,720 4.196 4.224 0.0272016 16,743 4.224 4.249 0.0252017 17,740 4.249 4.272 0.0232018 18,723 4.272 4.295 0.0222019 19,712 4.295 4.316 0.0212020 20,712 4.316 4.337 0.021


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50/66


51/66

LOG 1/50.03890.0675

0.01660.02750.01090.00550.00500.00470.00450.00430.0041


52/66

0.00400.0039

0.1975

0.0154.392

24,648


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1990 2,4491995 3,8342000 8,343

2005 10,1002010 13,8602015 15,7202016 16,7432017 17,7402018 18,7232019 19,7122020 20,7122021 21,7262022 22,755

2023 23,8002024 24,864

pa 24,864pi 2,449n 34N 1 0.1

! 7.055

p" 2025 ! 26,619


1990 2,4491995 3,834 1,385 56.552000 8,343 4,509 117.612005 10,100 1,757 21.062010 13,860 3,760 37.232015 15,720 1,860 13.422016 16,743 1,023 6.512017 17,740 997 5.952018 18,723 983 5.542019 19,712 990 5.292020 20,712 1,000 5.072021 21,726 1,013 4.892022 22,755 1,029 4.742023 23,800 1,046 4.602024 24,864 1,064 4.47


54/66

)*+a ( ! 292.92( p! 8.615

p" 2025 ! 27,007

METODO A#ITMETICO

I! 659.28

p" 2025 ! 25,524


1990 2,4491995 3,834 0.572000 8,343 1.182005 10,100 0.21

2010 13,860 0.372015 15,720 0.132016 16,743 0.072017 17,740 0.062018 18,723 0.062019 19,712 0.052020 20,712 0.052021 21,726 0.052022 22,755 0.052023 23,800 0.05

2024 24,864 0.04

! 2.93A/14 ! 0.21

p" 2025 ! 25,341


1990 2,449 3.389 3.584 0.195

1995 3,834 3.584 3.921 0.3382000 8,343 3.921 4.004 0.0832005 10,100 4.004 4.142 0.1372010 13,860 4.142 4.196 0.0552015 15,720 4.196 4.224 0.0272016 16,743 4.224 4.249 0.0252017 17,740 4.249 4.272 0.0232018 18,723 4.272 4.295 0.0222019 19,712 4.295 4.316 0.021


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2020 20,712 4.316 4.337 0.0212021 21,726 4.337 4.357 0.0202022 22,755 4.357 4.377 0.0202023 23,800 4.377 4.396 0.0192024 24,864 4.396

!/14 !

LOG p" 2025 !p" 2025 !

INEGI 26,619M.G.P 27,007M.A#IT 25,524M.M 25,341M.G.I 25,702

p" 2025 ! 25,948


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LOG 1/50.0389

0.06750.01660.02750.01090.00550.00500.00470.00450.0043


58/66

0.00410.00400.00390.0038

0.20130.0144.410

25,702


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1990 2,4491995 3,8342000 8,343

2005 10,1002010 13,8602015 15,7202016 16,7432017 17,7402018 18,7232019 19,7122020 20,7122021 21,7262022 22,755

2023 23,8002024 24,8642025 25,948

pa 25,948pi 2,449n 35N 1 0.1

! 6.977

p" 2026 ! 27,758


1990 2,4491995 3,834 1,385 56.552000 8,343 4,509 117.612005 10,100 1,757 21.062010 13,860 3,760 37.232015 15,720 1,860 13.422016 16,743 1,023 6.512017 17,740 997 5.952018 18,723 983 5.542019 19,712 990 5.292020 20,712 1,000 5.072021 21,726 1,013 4.892022 22,755 1,029 4.742023 23,800 1,046 4.602024 24,864 1,064 4.47


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2025 25,948 1,083 4.36)*+a ( ! 297.28

( p! 8.494p" 2026 ! 28,152

METODO A#ITMETICO

I! 671.40

p" 2026 ! 26,619


1990 2,4491995 3,834 0.572000 8,343 1.182005 10,100 0.21

2010 13,860 0.372015 15,720 0.132016 16,743 0.072017 17,740 0.062018 18,723 0.062019 19,712 0.052020 20,712 0.052021 21,726 0.052022 22,755 0.052023 23,800 0.05

2024 24,864 0.042025 25,948 0.04 ! 2.97

A/15 ! 0.20

p" 2026 ! 26,421


1990 2,449 3.389 3.584 0.195

1995 3,834 3.584 3.921 0.3382000 8,343 3.921 4.004 0.0832005 10,100 4.004 4.142 0.1372010 13,860 4.142 4.196 0.0552015 15,720 4.196 4.224 0.0272016 16,743 4.224 4.249 0.0252017 17,740 4.249 4.272 0.0232018 18,723 4.272 4.295 0.0222019 19,712 4.295 4.316 0.021


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2020 20,712 4.316 4.337 0.0212021 21,726 4.337 4.357 0.0202022 22,755 4.357 4.377 0.0202023 23,800 4.377 4.396 0.0192024 24,864 4.396 4.414 0.0192025 25,948 4.414

!/15 !

LOG p" 2026 !p" 2026 !

INEGI 27,758M.G.P 28,152M.A#IT 26,619M.M 26,421M.G.I 26,778

p" 2026 ! 27,052


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LOG 1/50.0389

0.06750.01660.02750.01090.00550.00500.00470.00450.0043


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0.00410.00400.00390.00380.0037

0.20500.0144.428

26,778


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ABA'TECIMIENTO DE AGDEMANDACON'MO

'E CLA'IICA 'EGN EL TIPO DE 'A#IO ENA D+)i:

B C+:ia;C In;i:)La i;i


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