dlf deven Presentation1
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DLF
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Name Roll
No:
Deven Pipalia 13
Jitendra Dave 18
Milroy Almeida 25
Neha Kulkarni 28
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REAL ESTATE SEGMENTS RESIDENTIAL SEGMENTS:- Economic crisis of 2008
In current scenario
RESIDENTIAL DEMAND (2011-2015)
It is expected that the demand for residential segment is going to increase by cumulative 9.3million units by 2015. The affordable and mid segment category is likely to constitute 85% ofthe total demand. 43% of the total demand is likely to be generated in the cities ofBangalore, Mumbai & NCR.
0
500000
1000000
1500000
2000000
2500000
2011E 2012E 2013E 2014E 2015E
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COMMERCIAL SEGMENT :-
OFFICE DEMAND(2011 2015)
It is expected that the cumulative demand for office space is going to be around258 million sq.ft
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
2011E 2012E 2013E 2014E 2015E
Million sq.ft
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RETAIL SEGMENT:-
As per the research done the retail demand is estimated to be cumulative
55.1 m.s.f by 2015
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
2011E 2012E 2013E 2014E 2015E
m.s.f
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Company Analysis
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About DLFIt has over six decades of real estate experience by constantly
upgrading its internal skill sets and resource capabilities.
Delhi Lease and Finance in 1946 aimed at revolutionizing the
Real Estate industry in the country.
Led by the visionary K. P. Singh in 1946, DLF began its journey
from developing some of the initial Residential Colonies in the
city.
They have also started to diversify into other real estate related
businesses.
BUILDING INDIA- Mission and vision of company
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Business Review
DLF
Development
Homes
Execution
Rental
Offices
SEZs
Retail
Other
Hotels
LifeInsurance
Asset mang.
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86%
9%
5%
Revenues
Development
Rental
other
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Home Segment
Region /
Head
City Area
Launched
(m.s.f.)
Area
Sold
(m.s.f.)
Sales Value
(Rs. Crs)
Average
Realization (p.s.f.)
Super Metro Delhi 4.56 4.21 3,300 7,838
Gurgaon DLF City & New
Gurgaon
3.50 3.12 2,550 8,173
Rest of India Panchkula, Banglore &
Goa
5.17 3.90 950 2,439
Existing
Stock
New Gurgaon, Kochi &
Indore
0.00 1.32 350 2,652
Total 13.23 12.55 7,150 21,102
12.2
6.3
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
2010 2009
Area sold (m.s.f)
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Execution
30%
11%38%
21%
Area unde
rConst
ruction (m.s.f.)
Segment/Regionwise
Rental Super Metros Gurgaon Rest of India
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Rental Business
Offices Segment
SEZs (Special Economic Zones)
Retail Segment
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Other Segments
Hotels
Life Insurance
Asset Management
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Strengths
DLF has a very good market share
Brand Value
Huge supplier base ensures a fixed rawmaterial cost
A well established and firm base in northIndia
Weaknesses
External allocation of largecontracts becomes difficult.
Lack of clearly define processesand procedures for constructionand its management.
Opportunities
Expansion of business in other parts ofIndia
Investment in raw material Backward Vertical Integration
Threats
Increasing labor costs & HeavyCompetition
Competitors may try to get more marketshare through improved techniques
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FI
NA
NCIAL
VALUATI
ON
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Key Assumptions
PARTICULARS VALUES
RISK FREE RATE 8%
BETA 1.65
D/E RATIO 0.53
RETURN PREMIUM 8%
COST OF EQUITY 21.2%
COST OF DEBT (POST-TAX) 4.2%
TERMINAL GROWTH RATE 6%
WACC 14%
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High Growth Phase CY 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
TERMINAL
VALUE
EBIT 4,796.20 6,158.39 7,900.62 10,125.53 12,962.80 13,985.60 15,089.52 16,281.01 17,567.03 18,955.11 20,453.38 21680.58
EBIT (1-t) 3951.11 5073.28 6508.53 8341.41 10678.75 11521.34 12430.75 13412.30 14471.72 15615.22 16849.49 17860.46
-(Capex- Depreciation) -110.56 1198.43 1414.15 1668.69 875.14 982.43 1061.03 1145.91 1237.58 1336.59 1443.51 1530.12
-Delta WC -5269.6 1205.23 1853.25 2028.96 2221.48 2432.42 2663.56 2916.85 3194.42 3498.61 3832.01 4061.93
FCFF 9331.27 2669.61 3241.14 4643.76 7582.13 8106.49 8706.16 9349.54 10039.73 10780.02 11573.97 12268.41
Present Value 2338.98 2488.02 3123.24 4467.92 4185.28 3938.20 3705.44 3486.18 3279.64 3085.08 76144.55
SUM of PV 34097.97
total 110242.53
Less DEBT VALUE 45859.05
EQUITY VALUE 64383.47
FCFE 64383.47
no.of shares 169.73
Price pershare 379
CMP 373
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Relative Valuation
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P/E Ratios:-
35.64
17.06
33.36
DLF UNITECH HDIL
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P/BV
2.6635
2.26
1.46
DLF UNITECH HDIL
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EV/EBITDA
12
21.17
10.78
DLF UNITECH HDIL
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Market cap/ Sales
8.08
21.17
6.88
DLF UNITECH HDIL
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Conclusion
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