Presentasi Premiere oil
Transcript of Presentasi Premiere oil
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2011 Annual Results Presentation 22 March 2012
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Forward looking statements
This presentation may contain forward-looking statements andinformation that both represents management's currentexpectations or beliefs concerning future events and aresubject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties.
A number of factors could cause actual results, performance orevents to differ materially from those expressed or implied by
these forward-looking statements.
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Agenda
Premier today
2011 financial results
Operations update
Exploration update
Summary
Simon Lockett
Tony Durrant
Neil Hawkings
Andrew Lodge
Simon Lockett
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Over the last 6 years …
4 0 %
3 3 8 %
7 2 %
8 0 %
Over the period, NAV/share CAGR of 14.2%excluding oil price effects
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Premier today...
Acquire Licence
Gate
Drill Decision
Gate
Appraisal
Approval Gate
Project
Extension
Gate
M E A P
N o r t h S e a
A s i a
Pre-Development
AppraiseDrillEvaluate
LEADS PROSPECTS MATURE PROSPECTS
... is in the strongest position inits history
• Clear path to 100,000 boepdfrom existing projects
• >1.5 billion of prospectiveresources in the exploration
portfolio• Fully funded programme with
strong and rising cash flows
• Proven capability to deliveracross the portfolio
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2011 highlights...
• Increased production to 60,000 boepd at year end
– Chim Sáo and Gajah Baru onstream
– Next generation of development projects progressing• Increased reserves and resources to 527 mmboe
– Exploration success at ~$5/bbl post-tax
– Acquisitions at ~$8/bbl
• Increased financial strength
– Cash and undrawn facilities of ~$1.4 billion
– Strongly rising cash flows
– Record profitability
– Continued access to bond and bank markets at favourable rates
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2011 financial results
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Record profitability
12 months to31 Dec 2010
Operating costs ($/bbl)
2011 2010
UK $39.5 $28.7
Indonesia $11.1 $8.5
Pakistan $2.4 $2.0
Vietnam $16.6 –
Group $15.9 $13.9
Highlights12 months to31 Dec 2011
Working Interest production (kboepd)
Entitlement production (kboepd)
Realised oil price ($/bbl) – pre hedgeRealised gas price ($/mcf) – pre hedge
Sales and other operating revenuesCost of sales
Gross profit
Exploration/New Business
General and administration costs
Operating profit
Financial items
Profit before taxation
Taxation credit
Profit after tax
42.8
38.3
79.76.3
$m
764(531)
233
(87)
(18)
128
(27)
101
29
130
40.4
37.7
111.98.5
$m
827(415)
412
(211)
(25)
176
(34)
142
29
171
• Net impact on 2011 of $23 millionpost-tax
• 25% of 2012 production hedged ataverage of $100/bbl
• Minimal hedging beyond 2012
• All b/fwd losses recognised asdeferred tax asset
• $1.36 billion allowances carriedforward into 2012
• No UK CT cash taxes until 2018 under
existing model using $75/bbl
Hedging
Taxation
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Rising cash flows
Cash flow from operations
Taxation
Operating cash flow
Capital expenditure
(Acquisitions)/disposals, net
Finance and other charges, net
Pre-licence expenditure
Net cash flow
12 months to31 Dec 2010
$m2011
DevelopmentExploration
Estimated capex split ($m)
433228
661
Regional split ($m)
505
(69)
436
(514)
13
(70)
(19)
(154)
12 months to31 Dec 2011
$m2010
349165
514
530
(44)
486
(661)
(90)
(50)
(23)
(338) North Sea$302mAsia
$301m
Total$661m
MEAP$58m
Outlook
• Operating cash flow increased by 11%; significant growth expected in 2012
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Strong liquidity position
Cash
Bank debt
Bonds
Convertibles
Net debt position
Pro forma Gearing
Cash and undrawn facilities
at 31 Dec 2010$m
300
(488)
( – )
(218)
(406)
26%
1,202
at 31 Dec 2011$m
309
(484)
(341)
(228)
(744)
30%
1,116
Outlook• Current debt funding costs average 5% (fixed) and 3% (floating)• Additional bank and bond debt raised post year-end of $585 million raising cash
and undrawn facilities (after some debt repayment) to $1,400 million by mid-March
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Fully funded programme
1400
Investment Profile(US$ million)
400
200
0
500
700
900
20132012 2015
800
600
100
300
2014
1000
1100
Exploration Expenditure
Development Capex1300
1200
Note: assumes exploration expenditure of $250 mm pa from 2013
2012 outlook
•Forecast full-year 2012 spend of ~$740million (development) and $220 million
(exploration)
•Total capex covered by cash flow for 2012at current spot prices
Forward funding
•Forward profile funded by cash flow andfacilities even at $60/bbl
•Significant capacity to increase spend on
exploration and new development projects
Outlook• Rising production generates $2 billion post-tax cash flow in 2015 at $100/bbl
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Operations update
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Operations highlights
• Chim Sáo and Gajah Baru onstream in October
– Deliverability exceeding expectations
• Realising further value from producing assets
• Continued progress on the developmentportfolio:
– Huntington and Rochelle progressing
– Solan project sanction expected soon
– Development studies for Catcher well-advanced
• On track to reach 75,000 boepd run rate byyear end 2012, once Huntington and Rochelle
onstream• Anticipate reaching 100,000 boepd when
Catcher comes onstream in 2015
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Production update
• Year-end target of 60,000 boepd achieved
– Full year production 40,420 boepd
– Strong gas demand in Pakistan and
Indonesia, combined with good facilitiesperformance
– Improved Balmoral production in H2, asmaintenance issues were progressed
• Wytch Farm acquisition adds ~2,500 boepd net• Production at Kyle (1,760 bopd) shut-in since
December 2011
• 2012 full year production forecast 60,000-65,000 boepd, with key variables being
– Timing of Huntington first production
– Ability to capitalise on excess deliverabilityat Chim Sáo and Gajah Baru
50
Production (working interest)(kboepd net)
20
10
0
60
2007 20102008 2009 2012E
30
Asia
MEAP
North Sea
2011
40
70
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Natuna ‘A’ 2015
Block A – strong production performance
Anoa & GSA1
• Producing at current maximum capacity
– 170-180 BBtud
• Phase 4 expansion project underway
– Raising capacity to 200 BBtud
• Pelikan will add 70 BBtud of capacity
Gajah Baru & GSA2/3/4
• Currently producing at 60-90 BBtud
• DCQ increases from 50 to 90 BBtud at end Q1
– 200 BBtud well deliverability
• Indonesia will shortly take an additional 40 BBtud
when the domestic swap agreement is signed
Outlook
• Series of new field developments will maintain rates
• Exploration is adding additional reserves
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Singapore Gas Market – sales are increasing
Singapore demand for gas will increase
• Existing pipeline supplies are naturally declining
• LNG supplies must commence and increase
• But supply diversity will be maintained, and beunderpinned by 90% Take or Pay contracts
• GSA1 demand expected to remain between DCQand Max Rate (341-392 BBtud)
Premier’s GSA1 market share is increasing• Block A contractual market share of GSA1 is 37%
– 2011 Block A actual share of deliveries was42%
– Block A share of remaining reserves dedicated
to GSA1 has increased to 59%
– Other GSA 1 suppliers are expected to drop to150-100 BBtud in 2015-2016
• GSA 1 market available to Block A could increaseto 200-250 BBtud in 2015-2016
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Chim Sáo – delivered and ramping up
• First oil achieved, safely and on budget, inOctober 2011
• Currently producing 25,000-30,000 bopd
– Gas exports add a further ~4,000 boepd
– Rates limited due to water injectiondelays
– 9 production wells could reach
40,000 bopd
– Vessel capacity is 50,000 bopd
• MDS5/6 reserves have increased by10 mmbo
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Chim Sáo – uncovering upside potential
Chim Sáo North West
• Chim Sáo North West discovered in August 2011
• Additional gross resource estimate 13 to 20 mmbo
• Near vertical appraisal well scheduled for mid-2012
• Development will be via existing facilities
Additional Reservoirs
• Further reserves potential is beingfound in reservoirs other than MDS5/6
Tie-in of Dua
• Government of Vietnam approvedODP in December 2011
• Long lead items being purchased
• Project sanction expected 1H 2012,first oil 2014
2000m
3060mss
ChimSáo
West Closure
Far Closure
Near Closure
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Kadanwari – getting more from a mature field
Kadanwari field
• Came onstream in 1995
• Highest gas price in Pakistan
• 2008-2012, five new gas compartments discovered:
– K-27 tied-in to system at 45 mmscfd in 2012
– K-28 and K-30, which tested at 30 mmscfd and50 mmscfd respectively, will be tied-in by mid-2012
• Production levels expected to be at 110 mmscfdduring 2012-2014
• Further exploration well planned for 4Q 2012
Upside potential• 550 bcf of tight gas potential identified in 2011
• 3 well pilot project planned for 2012
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Wytch Farm – motivated operator finding upside
Increased equity
• Increased Working Interest in Wytch Farm by17.715% to 30.1% in 2011
– ~4,500 boepd of net production in 2012 – Adds ~11 mmboe of net reserves
Upside potential
• Initiated active drilling programme to 2017 and
beyond to increase deliverability – Infill drilling in producing reservoirs to
accelerate production and optimiserecovery
– Bringing into production of satellite
discoveries onshore
• Long term production and reserves upsidethrough waterflood optimisation and EOR
• Working with new operator Perenco to
maximise value
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Huntington and Rochelle – progressing to first oil
• Successful development drilling campaign
• Phase 1 sub-sea installation completed
• CATS gas transportation agreement signed andshuttle tanker contract awarded
• Upgrade of the Voyageur FPSO proceeding
• Operator is expecting first oil in Q4 2012
• Rochelle area agreement executed May 2011
• Approval of FDP for East and West Rochelle
in 2011
• Scott platform modifications underway
• Subsea installation to commence in June 2012
• First gas expected in November 2012
Huntington Rochelle
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• Premier is Operator with 60% equity
• Development Concept:
– Subsea wells and storage tank
– Processing deck on a conventional jacket
– Reserves estimate ~ 40 mmbo
– Initial rate of 22,000 bopd
– Capex of ~$850 mm with $30 mm/year opex
• Premier will provide Chrysaor with:
– $50 million carry
– Corporate loan for the balance of their equity
– Loan recovered through Chrysaor’s cash flow
• Will qualify for new “Small Fields Allowance”
• Internal approvals are in place and seekingpartner and DECC approvals before end April
Solan – approaching project sanction
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Catcher Area – selecting a development concept
• Further 2011 drilling resulted in:
– STOIIP estimates of ~260-290 MMSTB
– Reserves estimates of 80-130 MMSTB
– Production rate of 50-70,000 bopd
• EnCore acquisition has completed
– Premier in place as Operator with 50% equity
• Conceptual Engineering studies completed
– Capex estimates range from $1.6bn for a leasedFPSO to $2.8bn for a central fixed platform
– JV concept selection process is underway
• New “Small Fields Allowance” will apply to seperate
accumulations on block
• Targeting sanction by year-end with first oil in 2015
FPSO and Subsea Wells
CPP, Bridge-linked WHP and Subsea Wells
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Reserves and resources – continuing growth
600
2007
450
400
350
0
150
200
250
300
2008 2009
100
50
Reserves and contingent resources(mmboe)
Production Additions &
Revisions
End 20112010
2C contingent resources
2P reserves
296
550500 230
227
261
Reserve replacement ratio of 333%
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A clear path to 100,000 boepd
120,000
Production outlook(bbls/day)
40,000
20,000
0
60,000
2012 20142013 2016
100,000
80,000
2015
1100
Development capex(US$ million)
400
200
0
500
700
900
20132012 2015
800
600
100
300
2014
1000
2016
At $100/bbl, expect post tax cash flow of ~$2 billion in 2015
Pre-Development
Sanctioned Projects
On Production
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Exploration update
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• Focus on geologies we know well
– Rifts or frontal fold belts
• Target best plays in basins ofchoice
– Play master approach
• Deliver 200 mmboe of 2P reserveadditions by end 2014
• Invest up to 30% of annual cashflows in exploration
• Gated process to decision making
Exploration strategy
Old New
Ol d
1. Premier capabilitiesand niche strategies
3. Technology capabilitiesand resource
diversificationopportunities
Ol d
N ew
2. Leverage Premiercapabilities in newareas
4. Identify long termopportunities forgrowth and approachto de-risk investment
N ew
Old New
G e o gr a
ph i e s
Themes
Themes
G e o gr a
ph i e s
AsiaMEAP &
Exploration
NewBusiness
North Sea
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2011 highlights
Exploration drilling
• Notable discoveries at Burgman in the Catcherarea in the UK, and CRD and Chim Sáo NorthWest in Vietnam
• 12 out of 21 exploration and appraisal wells drilledin 2011 successful
• Additional successes to date in 2012 with AnoaDeep in Indonesia and K-30 in Pakistan
• Remain on track to deliver 200 mmboe by end2014
– 70 mmboe added to date
New ventures
• 2011 highly successful for new acreage capture inNorway, UK and Kenya
• With lead and prospect maturation, greater visibilityfor 2014 and beyond
200
100
50
0
150
2012 2013 2014
450
Actual & forecast risked resource additions2009-2015 (mmboe)
2009 Actual
400
350
300
250
2010 Actual
2011 Actual
2015
Actual cumulative plus possible resourcesCumulative risked prospective resource additionsRisked prospective resource additions
Actual proved plus probable additions
•Unrisked prospective portfolio of >1.5 billion boe
(350 mmboe risked)
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NorwayPL378: Grosbeak
UKP1875 ErneStingray
NorwayPL374S: Blabaer
Bonneville
Carnaby
VietnamBlock 12W: CS NW
AppraiseDrillEvaluate
Acquire Licence
Gate
Drill Decision Gate
AppraisalApproval Gate
ProjectExtension
Gate M E A P
N o r t h S e a
A s i
a
Pre-Development
Spaniards
Coaster
Cougar Rapide
Rocket
K-32Badhra South
Badhra-7
New
York
Typhoon
Lacewing
Cyclone
Tupai
AnakondaB Sedang
KakakTua
B Kecil
Sambar
CRT
Silver
Sillago
Singa /Kuda Laut
PeudawaRayeu
AlurKacang
BiawakBesar
Matang
Benteng
Baroosh
Badhra-6 Parh
VietnamBlock 12W: CS Cau
VietnamBlock 087/03 CRD
PakistanKadanwari K-30
Norfolk
Moth E.
Moth S.
Cornet
LEADS PROSPECTS
Dino
Recent acquisitions add to overall portfolio value
Luno II
MATUREPROSPECTS
UNDER APPRAISAL
250
Net NPV10 $mm
>10 >25 >50$3bn success case
NPV (>$400mm EMV)
Exploration – North Sea
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• Targeted play led exploration
• Leveraging extensive datasets andgeophysical expertise
• Pushing plays beyond their currentlyunderstood limits – wider and deeper
• Future growth from within the portfolioand through new acquisitions and/or
licence awards
• Targeting 7-8 wells in 2012 withcombined gross mean prospectiveresource estimate of >350 mmboe
Exploration North SeaOverview
Exploration – North Sea
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• Premier has the regional database to pursueamplitude supported Tertiary prospectsthroughout the Central North Sea
• 3 firm wells to be drilled in 2012 targetingEocene prospects: Carnaby, Coaster andCyclone
– Combined gross prospective resourceestimate of 48-115-225 mmbo
• The Stringray prospect is attemptingto push the boundaries of theJurassic play fairway to the North
– Gross prospective resourceestimate of 12-30-90 mmbo
Exploration North SeaPushing the plays wider
Cyclone
Coaster
Stingray
Varadero
CarnabyCatcher N & E
Eocene ( Lower Tay) amplitude extraction
Burgman
2km
Coaster Tay Amplitudes
Catcher EastDiscovery
Coaster Prospect
Eocene Turbidite Sand Fairway
Carnaby
Appraisal – North Sea
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ppGreater Fyne Area
• Fyne Area entry – seeking incrementalreserves to reach development threshold
• Erne and Fyne Appraisal encountered
hydrocarbons but limited impact onreserves for Greater Fyne Area
• Reserves insufficient for standalonedevelopment
• Economics of tieback to nearby hostFPSOs do not currently meet Premiercorporate hurdles
• Discussions with partners ongoing
East Fyne
Erne
Exploration – North Sea
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Cyclone (P1784) (21/7b)
• Premier 70% equity, block awarded in 2010
• Gross prospective resource estimate (on block)
– 20-35-50 mmboe (Tay reservoir)• Risk assessment: moderate
– Critical factor: oil column
• Well planned for Q3 2012
pPushing the play wider ... Cyclone
Amplitude extractionGreen - oil?Yellow - gas
Cyclone amplitude responseon far stack data
Balder
2km
Cyclone
Cyclone
Exploration – North Sea
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Norfolk (P1887) (12/16b & 12/17b)
• Premier 25% equity, block awarded in 26th Round
• Gross prospective resource estimate (on licence)
– 20-146-495 mmboe• Risk assessment: high
– Critical factor: hydrocarbon charge and quality
• Prospect maturation ongoing
pPushing the plays wider ... 2013
Norfolk
Norfolk Norfolk
NNW SSEEW
Exploration – North Sea
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• Potential exists for deeperunderexplored fairways inthe North Sea
• In 2012, Premier will drill two prospectstargeting this deeper potential:Lacewing (Triassic target) and Luno II(Jurassic target)
• Combined gross prospective resourcepotential of 100-200-400+ mmbo
• Additional prospect maturation ongoingfor drilling in 2013 and beyond
pPushing the plays deeper
Lacewing
Luno II
Exploration – North Sea
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Pushing the plays deeper ... Luno II
Luno II (PL 359)• Premier equity 30%• Greater Luno is a regional high
– Focus for oil migration – Regional top seal drapes the high – Jurassic/Triassic reservoirs flank the high and,
where fractured, basement is also a reservoir – ~2,000 mmboe discovered to date
• Key play risks – Reservoir presence on the margins of the high – Lateral seal
Johan Sverdrup
PL 359
BCU Time MapC.I. 100 ms
Luno/Apollo
Ragnarrock
10km
Luno II Prospect
• Luno II is on the Southwest margin of the Johan Sverdrup high• Mesozoic sand presence interpreted from seismic and local well data
• Gross prospective resource estimate: 125mmbo (mean)
• Risk assessment: moderate – Critical factor: lateral seal
• Well planned for Q4 2012
Exploration – North Sea
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Lacewing (P1181, 23/21 & 23/22b)
• Gross prospective resource estimate(on block)
– 50-70-90 mmboe• Risk assessment: high
– Critical factor: trap effectivenessand reservoir quality
• Transfer of 37.3% and operatorship toConocoPhillips plus partial carry
– Premier’s retained equity in theblock will be 20.2%
• ConocoPhillips considerable HPHT
experience
• Well planned for Q4 2012
Top Triassic Depth Map
Pushing the plays deeper ... Lacewing
Exploration – Asia
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• Play led approach in the Nam ConSon Basin
– North West Chim Sáo Appraisal
– Kuda/Singa Laut wells planned – Prospect maturation for 2013
• Adding gas reserves
– Anoa Deep success
– Biawak Besar planned for lateMarch
– Matang will spud Q3 2012
• Pushing the frontiers
– Benteng expected to spud lateMarch
Overview
Benteng
Chim Sáo
Anoa Deep,Biawak Besar
MatangKuda/Singa Laut
Exploration – Asia
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Kuda/Singa Laut ... 1H 2013
Fluid Detection Volume – 3D Inversion
4 km
Combined Depth Structure Map
- 3 2 0
0 m
Kuda/Singa Laut (Tuna Block)
• Premier 65% equity and Operator
• Faulted dip closed structure up dip from a proven source
kitchen to the east – Primary reservoir target is Miocene in the Kuda Laut
segment and Oligocene in the Singa Laut segment
• Risk assessment: low (amplitude supported)
• Gross prospective resource estimate: 60-100-140 mmbo
• Well planned for 1H 2013
Kuda Segment Singa Segment Singa Laut
Kuda Laut
Singa Laut
Exploration – Asia
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Anoa Deep (Natuna Sea Block A)
• Premier 28.67% equity and Operator
• Drilled as an exploration tail to the WL-5 development well
• Encountered ~300 feet of fractured Lama Sandstones
• Lama formation tested and flowed gas
– 17 mmscf/d through a 48/64 inch choke
– Estimated total gas in place of 70-100-150 bcf
• The well will be tied-in to the Anoa facility
• Significant follow-on potential
– Similar sized structures are
mapped at the Top Lama to thenorth and east of Anoa Deep
Anoa Deep success
Top Lama DepthC.I.=100 feet
WL
1 Km
Anoa DeepDiscovery
Anoa North
2 Km
PRIMARY TARGET
NW SE
Anoa Deep (WL-5X)PTD 10850 ft MD (9550 ft TVDss)
Top Lama
Exploration – Asia
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Benteng (Buton Block)
• Premier 30% equity, operated by Japex
• Gross prospective resource estimate:
– 77 mmboe (mean)• Risk assessment: high
– Critical factor: trap presence
• Well planned for late March
Buton Block
Bulu-1
Benteng-1PTD 3200m MD
PTD
2 Km2 Km
PRIMARY TARGET
NW SE
Potential play opener ... Benteng
Exploration – MEAPE t i t ff h K
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L10A & L10B
• Potential to extend successful plays tothe south into Kenya
• 2535 km2 of 3D seismic successfullyacquired in Q4 2011
– Processing of 3D seismic to becompleted by year-end
• 1030 km of 2D successfully acquired in
Q1 2012
– Processing to be completed in Q22012
• Preliminary data sets show good quality
Entry into offshore Kenya
Test line from the 3D survey
E l ti d illi 2012
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Exploration drilling 2012
17 exploration and appraisal wells planned forthe remainder of 2012, targeting ~200 mmboe
of net unrisked prospective resourceContingent Wells
Firm Wells: Rig Contracted
Firm Wells: Rig TBC
All well timings are subject to revision for operational reasons
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Vietnam Block 12W Chim Sáo NW Appraisal 17 Low
Indonesia Buton Benteng-1 77 High
Natuna Sea Block A Biawak Besar 15 Low
Block A Aceh Matang 40 Low
Norway PL359 Luno II 125 Moderate
UK P1430 Carnaby 34 Low
P1812 Coaster 50 High
P1430 Bonneville TBC Low
P1212/P1771 Stingray 32 Moderate
P1784 Cyclone 35 Moderate
P1655 Spaniards 32 High
P1181 Lacewing 70 High
Pakistan Kadanwari K-32 7 Low
Bhit-Badhra Badhra South Deepening-1 38 High
Badhra-7 10 High
Mauritania Commitment well TBC TBC
Middle East - Africa - Pakistan
Asia
2012 Mean gross unrisked
resource (mmboe) Risk
North Sea
PRA 01
Weatherford 812
Bredford Dolphin
Sedco 711
Sedco 711
Glomar Arctic III
Wilphoenix
Maersk Resiliant
Wilphoenix
West Callisto
ENSCO 107
Sedco 711
Wells to watch in 2012
2012 N V t f
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2012 New Venture focus
North Sea (Rift theme)
• UK and Norway Licence Rounds
• Potential adds through acquisition
MEAP (Rift & Frontal Fold Belt themes)
• East Mediterranean and Egypt
• Pakistan and Iraq
• Expanding Premier’s acreage position inEast Africa
Asia (Rift & Frontal Fold Belt themes)
• Andaman Sea• East Vietnam
• Frontier Basins of East Indonesia
E ploration
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Exploration
Key messages...
• Portfolio of >1.5 billion boe of unrisked potential
• Wells to watch
– North Sea: Carnaby, Coaster, Cyclone and Luno II
– Asia: Anoa Deep, Biawak Besar and Chim Sáo North Westappraisal
• On track to deliver material programme in 2013 and beyond
• New Venture focus on basins with geologies that we understand
Summary
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Summary
What can you expect from Premier?
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Already in 2012...
• Solan
• Anoa Deep
• EnCore Oil
• Finance
–
–
–
–
Board approval
A new exploration play beneath Anoa
Completed acquisition and Cladhan sale
Cash/undrawn facilities increased to $1.4 bn
Forward plan...
• Production
• Developments
• Exploration
• Acquisitions
• Cash flow
–
–
–
–
–
Rising production to 100,000 boepd
Delivery on time, on budget, operated
Enhancing portfolio materiality
Where we can add value
Increasing to $2 bn per annum
What can you expect from Premier?
Appendix
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Appendix
Group taxation position
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Group taxation position
Overseas
Prior period provisions
UK
PRT
CT
Prior period revisions
Current charge
Deferred tax credits
Tax credit for the year
12 months to31 Dec 2010
$m
56.9
25.9
Nil
(21.3)
61.4
(90.4)
(29.0)
Allowances brought forward
Net additions in 2011 excluding RFES
RFES changes
Tax allowances carried forward*
UK Tax Allowance Positionat 31 Dec 2011
$m
1,112
204
44
1,360
12 months to31 Dec 2011
$m
60.1
72.1
17.2
nil
(2.1)
147.3
(177.0)
(29.7)
* fully recognised as deferred tax asset
Other developments
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Other developments
• Caledonia will be a tieback to Balmoralbut with gas lift from Britannia
• Sanction in 2012 with first oil in 2014
• New “Small Field Allowance” expected
Block A Aceh (Vietnam)
• Project sanction delayed
– Facilities sharing agreement with Arun
not completed (Arun owner is sellingthe asset)
– EPCI bid: decision taken to re-tender
• First gas is now scheduled for mid-2015
Caledonia (UK)
Other developments
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Other developments
Bream (Norway) Frøy (Norway)
• Work on the stand-alone developmentremains on hold
• Discussions on joint development areunderway with other operators
• Focus is Frigg Gamma Delta where anew operator has recently taken over
• First oil for Froy modelled for 2017
• Development plan progressing and theFPSO has been selected
• FEED is underway on both the FPSOand the subsea scope
• FPSO contract expected soon
• Project sanction is planned for Q3 2012,with first oil in 2015
End 2011 2P reserves and contingent resources
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End 2011 2P reserves and contingent resources
North Sea Asia MEAP Total
2P ReservesOn production 36.8 74.8 32.5 144.1
Approved fordevelopment 16.6 33.7 5.1 55.5
Justified fordevelopment
71.8 24.1 0.8 96.7
Total Reserves 125.2 132.6 38.5 296.3
2C ContingentResources
Developmentpending
52.9 7.4 1.0 61.3
Un-clarified or on hold
16.1 32.9 15.7 64.6
Development notcurrently viable
27.6 63.9 12.8 104.4
Total ContingentResources
96.6 104.2 29.5 230.3
Total Reserves & ContingentResources
221.8 236.8 68.0 526.6
These figures do not include prospective resources
Prospective resource portfolio
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Unrisked Resource Portfolio
Risked Resource Portfolio
Discovered resourceunder appraisal 33 mmboe
Leads196 mmboe
Prospects160 mmboe
Total1,729
mmboe
Total373
mmboe
• Unrisked prospective resource portfolioof 1,696 mmboe
• Portfolio changes from 2010:
– Increased lead inventory in Kenya,Norway and the UK
– Prospect inventory adjusted post2011 drilling
• Risked prospective resource portfolio of 356 mmboe
– 160 mmboe in prospects
– 196 mmboe in leads
– Focus to lead and prospectmaturation in 2012
Prospective resource portfolio
Discovered resourceunder appraisal 17 mmboe
Leads1,186 mmboe
Prospects510 mmboe
Recent acquisitions add to overall portfolio volume
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UKP077: East FyneStingray
NorwayPL374S: Blabaer
Bonneville
Carnaby
VietnamBlock 12W: CS NW
AppraiseDrillEvaluate
Acquire LicenceGate
Drill Decision Gate
AppraisalApproval Gate
ProjectExtension
Gate M E A
P
N o r t h
S e a
A s
i a
Pre-Development
Spaniards
Coaster
Cougar Rapide
Rocket
K-32Badhra South
Badhra-7
NewYork
Typhoon
Lacewing
Cyclone
Tupai
Anakonda
B Sedang
KakakTua
B Kecil
Sambar
CRT
SilverSillago
Singa /Kuda Laut
PeudawaRayeu
AlurKacang
BiawakBesar
Matang
Benteng
Baroosh
Badhra-6 Parh
Norfolk
Moth E.
Moth S.
Cornet
Dino
Luno II
Recent acquisitions add to overall portfolio volume
LEADS PROSPECTS MATUREPROSPECTS
UNDER APPRAISAL
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Carnaby
Carnaby
Carnaby (28/9)
• Premier 35% equity
• Gross prospective resource estimate
– 15-30-50 mmbo (Tay reservoir)
• Expected phase oil – Gas in shallower Eocene targets (Upper Tay)
• New 3D seismic data work ongoing
• Well planned for Q2 2012
Varadero
Carnaby Catcher N & E
Catcher Main
Catcher E
Carnaby
Varadero
NS
Lower Tay
Upper Tay
Burgman
Cromarty Depth Structure
Carnaby Prospect
Eocene ( Lower Tay) amplitude extraction
Carnaby
Burgman
Burgman
Exploration – North SeaCoaster
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Coaster (28/10a)
• Premier 100% equity, TAQA farmedinto 50% interest
• Gross prospective resource estimate13-50-125 mmboe (on block)
• Eocene and Palaeocene reservoirs
• Risk assessment: high
– Critical factor: trap and charge• Well due to spud Q2 2012
Rapide
Cougar
Varadero
Catcher North
JU1
Catcher Tiger
Burgman
Rocket
Paso
Bonneville Area
Vincent
Coaster
JU2
Carnaby
Exploration – North SeaStingray
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Stingray (P1212) (15/13b)
• Premier 50% equity, block awarded in 2004
• Gross prospective resource estimate (on block)
– 12-30-90 mmboe• Risk assessment: moderate
– Critical factor: trap – sealing fault to the north cannot beaccurately determined
• Planned spud date Q2 2012
g y
Stingray Prospect
Stingray
Exploration – North SeaSpaniards
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Spaniards (P1655)
• Premier equity 28% and Operator,adjacent to Scott infrastructure
• Gross prospective resource estimate: – 10-30-40 mmbo
• Risk assessment: high
– Critical factor: reservoir development
• Primary Target:
– Jurassic Galley Sands (oil)
– Appraising down dip extent of crestaloil discoveries in wells 15/21a-38zand 15/21-2
• Well planned for Q3 2012
Top Galley Sand Depth
14/25a-5
Perth
H a l i b u t H o r s t
Spaniards WestRyazanian
Spaniards EastGalley
Spaniards CentralGalley
p
Exploration – AsiaBiawak Besar
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Biawak Besar (Natuna Sea Block A)
• Premier: 28.67% equity and Operator
• Gross prospective resource estimate 13-15-17 mmboe
• Risk assessment: low – Critical factor: lateral seal presence
• Potential in a stratigraphic trap down-dip of the Iguana-1discovery
• Well planned for Q2 2012
Top Arang Depth
C.I.=100 metres2000m
Iguana Discovery
Biawak Besar-1
Biawak Besar PTD 5950 ft MD
Top Lama
PTD
500m
SENW
PRIMARYTARGET
Biawak Besar
Exploration – AsiaMatang
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Matang (Block A Aceh)
• Premier equity 41.67%
• Gross prospective resource estimate 20-40-70 mmboe(whole structure)
• Risk assessment: low
– Critical factor: reservoir presence
– 250 BCF follow on potential in the success case
• Well planned for Q3 2012
500m
EW
Top Belumai
Matang-1PTD 3000m MD
Matang
Top N4 BelumaiCarbonate
C.I.=50 metres1 Km
Matang-1
g
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