Presentasi Premiere oil

download Presentasi Premiere oil

of 61

Transcript of Presentasi Premiere oil

  • 8/17/2019 Presentasi Premiere oil

    1/61

    2011 Annual Results Presentation 22 March 2012

  • 8/17/2019 Presentasi Premiere oil

    2/61

    22nd March 2012 | Page 1

    Forward looking statements

    This presentation may contain forward-looking statements andinformation that both represents management's currentexpectations or beliefs concerning future events and aresubject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties.

     A number of factors could cause actual results, performance orevents to differ materially from those expressed or implied by

    these forward-looking statements.

  • 8/17/2019 Presentasi Premiere oil

    3/61

    22nd March 2012 | Page 2

     Agenda

    Premier today

    2011 financial results

    Operations update

    Exploration update

    Summary

    Simon Lockett

    Tony Durrant

    Neil Hawkings

     Andrew Lodge

    Simon Lockett

  • 8/17/2019 Presentasi Premiere oil

    4/61

    22nd March 2012 | Page 3

    Over the last 6 years …

     4 0 %

     3 3 8 %

     7 2 %

     8 0 %

    Over the period, NAV/share CAGR of 14.2%excluding oil price effects

  • 8/17/2019 Presentasi Premiere oil

    5/61

    22nd March 2012 | Page 4

    Premier today...

    Acquire Licence

    Gate

    Drill Decision

    Gate

    Appraisal

    Approval Gate

    Project

    Extension

    Gate

       M   E   A   P

       N  o  r   t   h   S  e  a

       A  s   i  a

    Pre-Development

    AppraiseDrillEvaluate

    LEADS    PROSPECTS    MATURE PROSPECTS 

    ... is in the strongest position inits history

    • Clear path to 100,000 boepdfrom existing projects

    • >1.5 billion of prospectiveresources in the exploration

    portfolio• Fully funded programme with

    strong and rising cash flows

    • Proven capability to deliveracross the portfolio

  • 8/17/2019 Presentasi Premiere oil

    6/61

    22nd March 2012 | Page 5

    2011 highlights...

    • Increased production to 60,000 boepd at year end

     – Chim Sáo and Gajah Baru onstream

     – Next generation of development projects progressing• Increased reserves and resources to 527 mmboe

     – Exploration success at ~$5/bbl post-tax

     – Acquisitions at ~$8/bbl

    • Increased financial strength

     – Cash and undrawn facilities of ~$1.4 billion

     – Strongly rising cash flows

     – Record profitability

     – Continued access to bond and bank markets at favourable rates

  • 8/17/2019 Presentasi Premiere oil

    7/61

    22nd March 2012 | Page 6

    2011 financial results

  • 8/17/2019 Presentasi Premiere oil

    8/61

    22nd March 2012 | Page 7

    Record profitability

    12 months to31 Dec 2010

    Operating costs ($/bbl)

    2011 2010

    UK $39.5 $28.7

    Indonesia $11.1 $8.5

    Pakistan $2.4 $2.0

    Vietnam $16.6 –

    Group $15.9 $13.9

    Highlights12 months to31 Dec 2011

    Working Interest production (kboepd)

    Entitlement production (kboepd)

    Realised oil price ($/bbl) – pre hedgeRealised gas price ($/mcf) – pre hedge

    Sales and other operating revenuesCost of sales

    Gross profit

    Exploration/New Business

    General and administration costs

    Operating profit

    Financial items

    Profit before taxation

    Taxation credit

    Profit after tax

    42.8

    38.3

    79.76.3

    $m

    764(531)

    233

    (87)

    (18)

    128

    (27)

    101

    29

    130

    40.4

    37.7

    111.98.5

    $m

    827(415)

    412

    (211)

    (25)

    176

    (34)

    142

    29

    171

    • Net impact on 2011 of $23 millionpost-tax

    • 25% of 2012 production hedged ataverage of $100/bbl

    • Minimal hedging beyond 2012

    • All b/fwd losses recognised asdeferred tax asset

    • $1.36 billion allowances carriedforward into 2012

    • No UK CT cash taxes until 2018 under

    existing model using $75/bbl

    Hedging

    Taxation

  • 8/17/2019 Presentasi Premiere oil

    9/61

    22nd March 2012 | Page 8

    Rising cash flows

    Cash flow from operations

    Taxation

    Operating cash flow

    Capital expenditure

    (Acquisitions)/disposals, net

    Finance and other charges, net

    Pre-licence expenditure

    Net cash flow

    12 months to31 Dec 2010

    $m2011

    DevelopmentExploration

    Estimated capex split ($m)

    433228

    661

    Regional split ($m)

    505

    (69)

    436

    (514)

    13

    (70)

    (19)

    (154)

    12 months to31 Dec 2011

    $m2010

    349165

    514

    530

    (44)

    486

    (661)

    (90)

    (50)

    (23)

    (338) North Sea$302mAsia

    $301m

    Total$661m

    MEAP$58m

    Outlook

    • Operating cash flow increased by 11%; significant growth expected in 2012

  • 8/17/2019 Presentasi Premiere oil

    10/61

    22nd March 2012 | Page 9

    Strong liquidity position

    Cash

    Bank debt

    Bonds

    Convertibles

    Net debt position

    Pro forma Gearing

    Cash and undrawn facilities

    at 31 Dec 2010$m

    300

    (488)

    ( – )

    (218)

    (406)

    26%

    1,202

    at 31 Dec 2011$m

    309

    (484)

    (341)

    (228)

    (744)

    30%

    1,116

    Outlook• Current debt funding costs average 5% (fixed) and 3% (floating)• Additional bank and bond debt raised post year-end of $585 million raising cash

    and undrawn facilities (after some debt repayment) to $1,400 million by mid-March

  • 8/17/2019 Presentasi Premiere oil

    11/61

    22nd March 2012 | Page 10

    Fully funded programme

    1400

    Investment Profile(US$ million)

    400

    200

    0

    500

    700

    900

    20132012 2015

    800

    600

    100

    300

    2014

    1000

    1100

    Exploration Expenditure

    Development Capex1300

    1200

    Note: assumes exploration expenditure of $250 mm pa from 2013

    2012 outlook

    •Forecast full-year 2012 spend of ~$740million (development) and $220 million

    (exploration)

    •Total capex covered by cash flow for 2012at current spot prices

    Forward funding

    •Forward profile funded by cash flow andfacilities even at $60/bbl

    •Significant capacity to increase spend on

    exploration and new development projects

    Outlook• Rising production generates $2 billion post-tax cash flow in 2015 at $100/bbl

  • 8/17/2019 Presentasi Premiere oil

    12/61

    22nd March 2012 | Page 11

    Operations update

  • 8/17/2019 Presentasi Premiere oil

    13/61

    22nd March 2012 | Page 12

    Operations highlights

    • Chim Sáo and Gajah Baru onstream in October 

     – Deliverability exceeding expectations

    • Realising further value from producing assets

    • Continued progress on the developmentportfolio:

     – Huntington and Rochelle progressing

     – Solan project sanction expected soon

     – Development studies for Catcher well-advanced

    • On track to reach 75,000 boepd run rate byyear end 2012, once Huntington and Rochelle

    onstream• Anticipate reaching 100,000 boepd when

    Catcher comes onstream in 2015

  • 8/17/2019 Presentasi Premiere oil

    14/61

    22nd March 2012 | Page 13

    Production update

    • Year-end target of 60,000 boepd achieved

     – Full year production 40,420 boepd

     – Strong gas demand in Pakistan and

    Indonesia, combined with good facilitiesperformance

     – Improved Balmoral production in H2, asmaintenance issues were progressed

    • Wytch Farm acquisition adds ~2,500 boepd net• Production at Kyle (1,760 bopd) shut-in since

    December 2011

    • 2012 full year production forecast 60,000-65,000 boepd, with key variables being

     – Timing of Huntington first production

     – Ability to capitalise on excess deliverabilityat Chim Sáo and Gajah Baru

    50

    Production (working interest)(kboepd net)

    20

    10

    0

    60

    2007 20102008 2009 2012E

    30

     Asia

    MEAP

    North Sea

    2011

    40

    70

  • 8/17/2019 Presentasi Premiere oil

    15/61

    22nd March 2012 | Page 14

    Natuna ‘A’ 2015

    Block A – strong production performance

    Anoa & GSA1

    • Producing at current maximum capacity

     – 170-180 BBtud

    • Phase 4 expansion project underway

     – Raising capacity to 200 BBtud

    • Pelikan will add 70 BBtud of capacity

    Gajah Baru & GSA2/3/4

    • Currently producing at 60-90 BBtud

    • DCQ increases from 50 to 90 BBtud at end Q1

     – 200 BBtud well deliverability

    • Indonesia will shortly take an additional 40 BBtud

    when the domestic swap agreement is signed

    Outlook

    • Series of new field developments will maintain rates

    • Exploration is adding additional reserves

  • 8/17/2019 Presentasi Premiere oil

    16/61

    22nd March 2012 | Page 15

    Singapore Gas Market – sales are increasing

    Singapore demand for gas will increase

    • Existing pipeline supplies are naturally declining

    • LNG supplies must commence and increase

    • But supply diversity will be maintained, and beunderpinned by 90% Take or Pay contracts

    • GSA1 demand expected to remain between DCQand Max Rate (341-392 BBtud)

    Premier’s GSA1 market share is increasing• Block A contractual market share of GSA1 is 37%

     – 2011 Block A actual share of deliveries was42%

     – Block A share of remaining reserves dedicated

    to GSA1 has increased to 59%

     – Other GSA 1 suppliers are expected to drop to150-100 BBtud in 2015-2016

    • GSA 1 market available to Block A could increaseto 200-250 BBtud in 2015-2016

  • 8/17/2019 Presentasi Premiere oil

    17/61

    22nd March 2012 | Page 16

    Chim Sáo – delivered and ramping up

    • First oil achieved, safely and on budget, inOctober 2011

    • Currently producing 25,000-30,000 bopd

     – Gas exports add a further ~4,000 boepd

     – Rates limited due to water injectiondelays

     – 9 production wells could reach

    40,000 bopd

     – Vessel capacity is 50,000 bopd

    • MDS5/6 reserves have increased by10 mmbo

  • 8/17/2019 Presentasi Premiere oil

    18/61

    22nd March 2012 | Page 17

    Chim Sáo – uncovering upside potential

    Chim Sáo North West

    • Chim Sáo North West discovered in August 2011

    • Additional gross resource estimate 13 to 20 mmbo

    • Near vertical appraisal well scheduled for mid-2012

    • Development will be via existing facilities

    Additional Reservoirs

    • Further reserves potential is beingfound in reservoirs other than MDS5/6

    Tie-in of Dua

    • Government of Vietnam approvedODP in December 2011

    • Long lead items being purchased

    • Project sanction expected 1H 2012,first oil 2014

    2000m

    3060mss

    ChimSáo

    West Closure

    Far Closure

    Near Closure

  • 8/17/2019 Presentasi Premiere oil

    19/61

    22nd March 2012 | Page 18

    Kadanwari – getting more from a mature field

    Kadanwari field

    • Came onstream in 1995

    • Highest gas price in Pakistan

    • 2008-2012, five new gas compartments discovered:

     – K-27 tied-in to system at 45 mmscfd in 2012

     – K-28 and K-30, which tested at 30 mmscfd and50 mmscfd respectively, will be tied-in by mid-2012

    • Production levels expected to be at 110 mmscfdduring 2012-2014

    • Further exploration well planned for 4Q 2012

    Upside potential• 550 bcf of tight gas potential identified in 2011

    • 3 well pilot project planned for 2012

  • 8/17/2019 Presentasi Premiere oil

    20/61

    22nd March 2012 | Page 19

    Wytch Farm – motivated operator finding upside

    Increased equity

    • Increased Working Interest in Wytch Farm by17.715% to 30.1% in 2011

     – ~4,500 boepd of net production in 2012 – Adds ~11 mmboe of net reserves

    Upside potential

    • Initiated active drilling programme to 2017 and

    beyond to increase deliverability – Infill drilling in producing reservoirs to

    accelerate production and optimiserecovery

     – Bringing into production of satellite

    discoveries onshore

    • Long term production and reserves upsidethrough waterflood optimisation and EOR

    • Working with new operator Perenco to

    maximise value

  • 8/17/2019 Presentasi Premiere oil

    21/61

    22nd March 2012 | Page 20

    Huntington and Rochelle – progressing to first oil

    • Successful development drilling campaign

    • Phase 1 sub-sea installation completed

    • CATS gas transportation agreement signed andshuttle tanker contract awarded

    • Upgrade of the Voyageur FPSO proceeding

    • Operator is expecting first oil in Q4 2012

    • Rochelle area agreement executed May 2011

    • Approval of FDP for East and West Rochelle

    in 2011

    • Scott platform modifications underway

    • Subsea installation to commence in June 2012

    • First gas expected in November 2012

    Huntington Rochelle

  • 8/17/2019 Presentasi Premiere oil

    22/61

    22nd March 2012 | Page 21

    • Premier is Operator with 60% equity

    • Development Concept:

     – Subsea wells and storage tank

     – Processing deck on a conventional jacket

     – Reserves estimate ~ 40 mmbo

     – Initial rate of 22,000 bopd

     – Capex of ~$850 mm with $30 mm/year opex

    • Premier will provide Chrysaor with:

     – $50 million carry

     – Corporate loan for the balance of their equity

     – Loan recovered through Chrysaor’s cash flow

    • Will qualify for new “Small Fields Allowance”

    • Internal approvals are in place and seekingpartner and DECC approvals before end April

    Solan – approaching project sanction

  • 8/17/2019 Presentasi Premiere oil

    23/61

    22nd March 2012 | Page 22

    Catcher Area – selecting a development concept

    • Further 2011 drilling resulted in:

     – STOIIP estimates of ~260-290 MMSTB

     – Reserves estimates of 80-130 MMSTB

     – Production rate of 50-70,000 bopd

    • EnCore acquisition has completed

     – Premier in place as Operator with 50% equity

    • Conceptual Engineering studies completed

     – Capex estimates range from $1.6bn for a leasedFPSO to $2.8bn for a central fixed platform

     – JV concept selection process is underway

    • New “Small Fields Allowance” will apply to seperate

    accumulations on block

    • Targeting sanction by year-end with first oil in 2015

    FPSO and Subsea Wells

    CPP, Bridge-linked WHP and Subsea Wells

  • 8/17/2019 Presentasi Premiere oil

    24/61

    22nd March 2012 | Page 23

    Reserves and resources – continuing growth

    600

    2007

    450

    400

    350

    0

    150

    200

    250

    300

    2008 2009

    100

    50

    Reserves and contingent resources(mmboe)

    Production Additions &

    Revisions

    End 20112010

    2C contingent resources

    2P reserves

    296

    550500 230

    227

    261

    Reserve replacement ratio of 333%

  • 8/17/2019 Presentasi Premiere oil

    25/61

    22nd March 2012 | Page 24

     A clear path to 100,000 boepd

    120,000

    Production outlook(bbls/day)

    40,000

    20,000

    0

    60,000

    2012 20142013 2016

    100,000

    80,000

    2015

    1100

    Development capex(US$ million)

    400

    200

    0

    500

    700

    900

    20132012 2015

    800

    600

    100

    300

    2014

    1000

    2016

     At $100/bbl, expect post tax cash flow of ~$2 billion in 2015

    Pre-Development

    Sanctioned Projects

    On Production

  • 8/17/2019 Presentasi Premiere oil

    26/61

    22nd March 2012 | Page 25

    Exploration update

  • 8/17/2019 Presentasi Premiere oil

    27/61

    22nd March 2012 | Page 26

    • Focus on geologies we know well

     – Rifts or frontal fold belts

    • Target best plays in basins ofchoice

     – Play master approach

    • Deliver 200 mmboe of 2P reserveadditions by end 2014

    • Invest up to 30% of annual cashflows in exploration

    • Gated process to decision making

    Exploration strategy

    Old New

     Ol    d 

    1. Premier capabilitiesand niche strategies

    3. Technology capabilitiesand resource

    diversificationopportunities

      Ol    d 

    N ew

    2. Leverage Premiercapabilities in newareas

    4. Identify long termopportunities forgrowth and approachto de-risk investment

    N ew

    Old New

     G e o  gr  a

      ph i    e s

    Themes

    Themes

     G e o  gr  a

      ph i    e s

    AsiaMEAP &

    Exploration

    NewBusiness

    North Sea

  • 8/17/2019 Presentasi Premiere oil

    28/61

    22nd March 2012 | Page 27

    2011 highlights

    Exploration drilling

    • Notable discoveries at Burgman in the Catcherarea in the UK, and CRD and Chim Sáo NorthWest in Vietnam

    • 12 out of 21 exploration and appraisal wells drilledin 2011 successful

    •  Additional successes to date in 2012 with AnoaDeep in Indonesia and K-30 in Pakistan

    • Remain on track to deliver 200 mmboe by end2014

     – 70 mmboe added to date

    New ventures

    • 2011 highly successful for new acreage capture inNorway, UK and Kenya

    • With lead and prospect maturation, greater visibilityfor 2014 and beyond

    200

    100

    50

    0

    150

    2012 2013 2014

    450

    Actual & forecast risked resource additions2009-2015 (mmboe)

    2009 Actual

    400

    350

    300

    250

    2010 Actual

    2011 Actual

    2015

     Actual cumulative plus possible resourcesCumulative risked prospective resource additionsRisked prospective resource additions

     Actual proved plus probable additions

    •Unrisked prospective portfolio of >1.5 billion boe

    (350 mmboe risked)

  • 8/17/2019 Presentasi Premiere oil

    29/61

    22nd March 2012 | Page 28

    NorwayPL378: Grosbeak

    UKP1875 ErneStingray

    NorwayPL374S: Blabaer 

    Bonneville

    Carnaby

    VietnamBlock 12W: CS NW

    AppraiseDrillEvaluate

    Acquire Licence

    Gate

    Drill Decision Gate

    AppraisalApproval Gate

    ProjectExtension

    Gate   M   E   A   P

       N  o  r   t   h   S  e  a

       A  s   i

      a

    Pre-Development

    Spaniards

    Coaster 

    Cougar Rapide

    Rocket

    K-32Badhra South

    Badhra-7

    New

    York

    Typhoon

    Lacewing

    Cyclone

    Tupai

     AnakondaB Sedang

    KakakTua

    B Kecil

    Sambar

    CRT

    Silver

    Sillago

    Singa /Kuda Laut

    PeudawaRayeu

     AlurKacang

    BiawakBesar 

    Matang

    Benteng

    Baroosh

    Badhra-6 Parh

    VietnamBlock 12W: CS Cau

    VietnamBlock 087/03 CRD

    PakistanKadanwari K-30

    Norfolk

    Moth E.

    Moth S.

    Cornet

    LEADS PROSPECTS

    Dino

    Recent acquisitions add to overall portfolio value

    Luno II

    MATUREPROSPECTS

    UNDER APPRAISAL

    250

    Net NPV10 $mm

    >10 >25 >50$3bn success case

    NPV (>$400mm EMV)

    Exploration – North Sea

  • 8/17/2019 Presentasi Premiere oil

    30/61

    22nd March 2012 | Page 29

    • Targeted play led exploration

    • Leveraging extensive datasets andgeophysical expertise

    • Pushing plays beyond their currentlyunderstood limits – wider and deeper 

    • Future growth from within the portfolioand through new acquisitions and/or

    licence awards

    • Targeting 7-8 wells in 2012 withcombined gross mean prospectiveresource estimate of >350 mmboe

    Exploration North SeaOverview

    Exploration – North Sea

  • 8/17/2019 Presentasi Premiere oil

    31/61

    22nd March 2012 | Page 30

    • Premier has the regional database to pursueamplitude supported Tertiary prospectsthroughout the Central North Sea

    • 3 firm wells to be drilled in 2012 targetingEocene prospects: Carnaby, Coaster andCyclone

     – Combined gross prospective resourceestimate of 48-115-225 mmbo

    • The Stringray prospect is attemptingto push the boundaries of theJurassic play fairway to the North

     – Gross prospective resourceestimate of 12-30-90 mmbo

    Exploration North SeaPushing the plays wider 

    Cyclone

    Coaster 

    Stingray

    Varadero

    CarnabyCatcher N & E

    Eocene ( Lower Tay) amplitude extraction

    Burgman

    2km

    Coaster Tay Amplitudes

    Catcher EastDiscovery

    Coaster Prospect

    Eocene Turbidite Sand Fairway

    Carnaby

     Appraisal – North Sea

  • 8/17/2019 Presentasi Premiere oil

    32/61

    22nd March 2012 | Page 31

    ppGreater Fyne Area

    • Fyne Area entry – seeking incrementalreserves to reach development threshold

    • Erne and Fyne Appraisal encountered

    hydrocarbons but limited impact onreserves for Greater Fyne Area

    • Reserves insufficient for standalonedevelopment

    • Economics of tieback to nearby hostFPSOs do not currently meet Premiercorporate hurdles

    • Discussions with partners ongoing

    East Fyne

    Erne

    Exploration – North Sea

  • 8/17/2019 Presentasi Premiere oil

    33/61

    22nd March 2012 | Page 32

    Cyclone (P1784) (21/7b)

    • Premier 70% equity, block awarded in 2010

    • Gross prospective resource estimate (on block)

     – 20-35-50 mmboe (Tay reservoir)• Risk assessment: moderate

     – Critical factor: oil column

    • Well planned for Q3 2012

    pPushing the play wider ... Cyclone

    Amplitude extractionGreen - oil?Yellow - gas

    Cyclone amplitude responseon far stack data

    Balder 

    2km

    Cyclone

    Cyclone

    Exploration – North Sea

  • 8/17/2019 Presentasi Premiere oil

    34/61

    22nd March 2012 | Page 33

    Norfolk (P1887) (12/16b & 12/17b)

    • Premier 25% equity, block awarded in 26th Round

    • Gross prospective resource estimate (on licence)

     – 20-146-495 mmboe• Risk assessment: high

     – Critical factor: hydrocarbon charge and quality

    • Prospect maturation ongoing

    pPushing the plays wider ... 2013

    Norfolk

    Norfolk Norfolk

    NNW SSEEW

    Exploration – North Sea

  • 8/17/2019 Presentasi Premiere oil

    35/61

    22nd March 2012 | Page 34

    • Potential exists for deeperunderexplored fairways inthe North Sea

    • In 2012, Premier will drill two prospectstargeting this deeper potential:Lacewing (Triassic target) and Luno II(Jurassic target)

    • Combined gross prospective resourcepotential of 100-200-400+ mmbo

    • Additional prospect maturation ongoingfor drilling in 2013 and beyond

    pPushing the plays deeper 

    Lacewing

    Luno II

    Exploration – North Sea

  • 8/17/2019 Presentasi Premiere oil

    36/61

    22nd March 2012 | Page 35

    Pushing the plays deeper ... Luno II

    Luno II (PL 359)• Premier equity 30%• Greater Luno is a regional high

     – Focus for oil migration – Regional top seal drapes the high – Jurassic/Triassic reservoirs flank the high and,

    where fractured, basement is also a reservoir  – ~2,000 mmboe discovered to date

    • Key play risks – Reservoir presence on the margins of the high – Lateral seal

    Johan Sverdrup

    PL 359

    BCU Time MapC.I. 100 ms

    Luno/Apollo

    Ragnarrock

    10km

    Luno II Prospect

    • Luno II is on the Southwest margin of the Johan Sverdrup high• Mesozoic sand presence interpreted from seismic and local well data

    • Gross prospective resource estimate: 125mmbo (mean)

    • Risk assessment: moderate – Critical factor: lateral seal

    • Well planned for Q4 2012

    Exploration – North Sea

  • 8/17/2019 Presentasi Premiere oil

    37/61

    22nd March 2012 | Page 36

    Lacewing (P1181, 23/21 & 23/22b)

    • Gross prospective resource estimate(on block)

     – 50-70-90 mmboe• Risk assessment: high

     – Critical factor: trap effectivenessand reservoir quality

    • Transfer of 37.3% and operatorship toConocoPhillips plus partial carry

     – Premier’s retained equity in theblock will be 20.2%

    • ConocoPhillips considerable HPHT

    experience

    • Well planned for Q4 2012

    Top Triassic Depth Map

    Pushing the plays deeper ... Lacewing

    Exploration – Asia

  • 8/17/2019 Presentasi Premiere oil

    38/61

    22nd March 2012 | Page 37

    • Play led approach in the Nam ConSon Basin

     – North West Chim Sáo Appraisal

     – Kuda/Singa Laut wells planned – Prospect maturation for 2013

    • Adding gas reserves

     – Anoa Deep success

     – Biawak Besar planned for lateMarch

     – Matang will spud Q3 2012

    • Pushing the frontiers

     – Benteng expected to spud lateMarch

    Overview

    Benteng

    Chim Sáo

     Anoa Deep,Biawak Besar 

    MatangKuda/Singa Laut

    Exploration – Asia

  • 8/17/2019 Presentasi Premiere oil

    39/61

    22nd March 2012 | Page 38

    Kuda/Singa Laut ... 1H 2013

    Fluid Detection Volume – 3D Inversion

    4 km

    Combined Depth Structure Map

      -   3   2   0

       0  m

    Kuda/Singa Laut (Tuna Block)

    • Premier 65% equity and Operator 

    • Faulted dip closed structure up dip from a proven source

    kitchen to the east – Primary reservoir target is Miocene in the Kuda Laut

    segment and Oligocene in the Singa Laut segment

    • Risk assessment: low (amplitude supported)

    • Gross prospective resource estimate: 60-100-140 mmbo

    • Well planned for 1H 2013

    Kuda Segment Singa Segment Singa Laut

    Kuda Laut

    Singa Laut

    Exploration – Asia

  • 8/17/2019 Presentasi Premiere oil

    40/61

    22nd March 2012 | Page 39

    Anoa Deep (Natuna Sea Block A)

    • Premier 28.67% equity and Operator 

    • Drilled as an exploration tail to the WL-5 development well

    • Encountered ~300 feet of fractured Lama Sandstones

    • Lama formation tested and flowed gas

     – 17 mmscf/d through a 48/64 inch choke

     – Estimated total gas in place of 70-100-150 bcf 

    • The well will be tied-in to the Anoa facility

    • Significant follow-on potential

     – Similar sized structures are

    mapped at the Top Lama to thenorth and east of Anoa Deep

     Anoa Deep success

    Top Lama DepthC.I.=100 feet

    WL

    1 Km

     Anoa DeepDiscovery

     Anoa North

    2 Km

    PRIMARY TARGET

    NW SE

     Anoa Deep (WL-5X)PTD 10850 ft MD (9550 ft TVDss)

    Top Lama 

    Exploration – Asia

  • 8/17/2019 Presentasi Premiere oil

    41/61

    22nd March 2012 | Page 40

    Benteng (Buton Block)

    • Premier 30% equity, operated by Japex

    • Gross prospective resource estimate:

     – 77 mmboe (mean)• Risk assessment: high

     – Critical factor: trap presence

    • Well planned for late March

    Buton Block

    Bulu-1

    Benteng-1PTD 3200m MD

    PTD

    2 Km2 Km

    PRIMARY TARGET

    NW SE

    Potential play opener ... Benteng

    Exploration – MEAPE t i t ff h K

  • 8/17/2019 Presentasi Premiere oil

    42/61

    22nd March 2012 | Page 41

    L10A & L10B

    • Potential to extend successful plays tothe south into Kenya

    • 2535 km2 of 3D seismic successfullyacquired in Q4 2011

     – Processing of 3D seismic to becompleted by year-end

    • 1030 km of 2D successfully acquired in

    Q1 2012

     – Processing to be completed in Q22012

    • Preliminary data sets show good quality

    Entry into offshore Kenya

    Test line from the 3D survey

    E l ti d illi 2012

  • 8/17/2019 Presentasi Premiere oil

    43/61

    22nd March 2012 | Page 42

    Exploration drilling 2012

    17 exploration and appraisal wells planned forthe remainder of 2012, targeting ~200 mmboe

    of net unrisked prospective resourceContingent Wells

    Firm Wells: Rig Contracted

    Firm Wells: Rig TBC

     All well timings are subject to revision for operational reasons

    Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Vietnam Block 12W Chim Sáo NW Appraisal 17 Low

    Indonesia Buton Benteng-1 77 High

    Natuna Sea Block A Biawak Besar  15 Low

    Block A Aceh Matang 40 Low

    Norway PL359 Luno II 125 Moderate

    UK P1430 Carnaby 34 Low

    P1812 Coaster   50 High

    P1430 Bonneville TBC Low

    P1212/P1771 Stingray 32 Moderate

    P1784 Cyclone 35 Moderate

    P1655 Spaniards 32 High

    P1181 Lacewing 70 High

    Pakistan Kadanwari K-32 7 Low

    Bhit-Badhra Badhra South Deepening-1 38 High

    Badhra-7 10 High

    Mauritania Commitment well TBC TBC

    Middle East - Africa - Pakistan

    Asia

    2012 Mean gross unrisked

    resource (mmboe) Risk

    North Sea

    PRA 01

    Weatherford 812

    Bredford Dolphin

    Sedco 711

    Sedco 711

    Glomar Arctic III

    Wilphoenix

    Maersk Resiliant

    Wilphoenix

    West Callisto

    ENSCO 107

    Sedco 711

    Wells to watch in 2012

    2012 N V t f

  • 8/17/2019 Presentasi Premiere oil

    44/61

    22nd March 2012 | Page 43

    2012 New Venture focus

    North Sea (Rift theme)

    • UK and Norway Licence Rounds

    • Potential adds through acquisition

    MEAP (Rift & Frontal Fold Belt themes)

    • East Mediterranean and Egypt

    • Pakistan and Iraq

    • Expanding Premier’s acreage position inEast Africa

    Asia (Rift & Frontal Fold Belt themes)

    • Andaman Sea• East Vietnam

    • Frontier Basins of East Indonesia

    E ploration

  • 8/17/2019 Presentasi Premiere oil

    45/61

    22nd March 2012 | Page 44

    Exploration

    Key messages...

    • Portfolio of >1.5 billion boe of unrisked potential

    • Wells to watch

     – North Sea: Carnaby, Coaster, Cyclone and Luno II

     –  Asia: Anoa Deep, Biawak Besar and Chim Sáo North Westappraisal

    • On track to deliver material programme in 2013 and beyond

    • New Venture focus on basins with geologies that we understand

    Summary

  • 8/17/2019 Presentasi Premiere oil

    46/61

    22nd March 2012 | Page 45

    Summary

    What can you expect from Premier?

  • 8/17/2019 Presentasi Premiere oil

    47/61

    22nd March 2012 | Page 46

    Already in 2012...

    • Solan

    • Anoa Deep

    • EnCore Oil

    • Finance

     –

     –

     –

     –

    Board approval

     A new exploration play beneath Anoa

    Completed acquisition and Cladhan sale

    Cash/undrawn facilities increased to $1.4 bn

    Forward plan...

    • Production

    • Developments

    • Exploration

    • Acquisitions

    • Cash flow

     –

     –

     –

     –

     –

    Rising production to 100,000 boepd

    Delivery on time, on budget, operated

    Enhancing portfolio materiality

    Where we can add value

    Increasing to $2 bn per annum

    What can you expect from Premier?

    Appendix

  • 8/17/2019 Presentasi Premiere oil

    48/61

    22nd March 2012 | Page 47

    Appendix

    Group taxation position

  • 8/17/2019 Presentasi Premiere oil

    49/61

    22nd March 2012 | Page 48

    Group taxation position

    Overseas

    Prior period provisions

    UK

    PRT

    CT

    Prior period revisions

    Current charge

    Deferred tax credits

    Tax credit for the year 

    12 months to31 Dec 2010

    $m

    56.9

    25.9

    Nil

    (21.3)

    61.4

    (90.4)

    (29.0)

     Allowances brought forward

    Net additions in 2011 excluding RFES

    RFES changes

    Tax allowances carried forward*

    UK Tax Allowance Positionat 31 Dec 2011

    $m

    1,112

    204

    44

    1,360

    12 months to31 Dec 2011

    $m

    60.1

    72.1

    17.2

    nil

    (2.1)

    147.3

    (177.0)

    (29.7)

    * fully recognised as deferred tax asset 

    Other developments

  • 8/17/2019 Presentasi Premiere oil

    50/61

    22nd March 2012 | Page 49

    Other developments

    • Caledonia will be a tieback to Balmoralbut with gas lift from Britannia

    • Sanction in 2012 with first oil in 2014

    • New “Small Field Allowance” expected

    Block A Aceh (Vietnam)

    • Project sanction delayed

     – Facilities sharing agreement with Arun

    not completed (Arun owner is sellingthe asset)

     – EPCI bid: decision taken to re-tender 

    • First gas is now scheduled for mid-2015

    Caledonia (UK)

    Other developments

  • 8/17/2019 Presentasi Premiere oil

    51/61

    22nd March 2012 | Page 50

    Other developments

    Bream (Norway) Frøy (Norway)

    • Work on the stand-alone developmentremains on hold

    • Discussions on joint development areunderway with other operators

    • Focus is Frigg Gamma Delta where anew operator has recently taken over 

    • First oil for Froy modelled for 2017

    • Development plan progressing and theFPSO has been selected

    • FEED is underway on both the FPSOand the subsea scope

    • FPSO contract expected soon

    • Project sanction is planned for Q3 2012,with first oil in 2015

    End 2011 2P reserves and contingent resources

  • 8/17/2019 Presentasi Premiere oil

    52/61

    22nd March 2012 | Page 51

    End 2011 2P reserves and contingent resources

    North Sea Asia MEAP Total

    2P ReservesOn production 36.8 74.8 32.5 144.1

     Approved fordevelopment 16.6 33.7 5.1 55.5

    Justified fordevelopment

    71.8 24.1 0.8 96.7

    Total Reserves 125.2 132.6 38.5 296.3

    2C ContingentResources

    Developmentpending

    52.9 7.4 1.0 61.3

    Un-clarified or on hold

    16.1 32.9 15.7 64.6

    Development notcurrently viable

    27.6 63.9 12.8 104.4

    Total ContingentResources

    96.6 104.2 29.5 230.3

    Total Reserves & ContingentResources

    221.8 236.8 68.0 526.6

    These figures do not include prospective resources

    Prospective resource portfolio

  • 8/17/2019 Presentasi Premiere oil

    53/61

    22nd March 2012 | Page 52

    Unrisked Resource Portfolio

    Risked Resource Portfolio

    Discovered resourceunder appraisal 33 mmboe

    Leads196 mmboe

    Prospects160 mmboe

    Total1,729

    mmboe

    Total373

    mmboe

    • Unrisked prospective resource portfolioof 1,696 mmboe

    • Portfolio changes from 2010:

     – Increased lead inventory in Kenya,Norway and the UK

     – Prospect inventory adjusted post2011 drilling

    • Risked prospective resource portfolio of 356 mmboe

     – 160 mmboe in prospects

     – 196 mmboe in leads

     – Focus to lead and prospectmaturation in 2012

    Prospective resource portfolio

    Discovered resourceunder appraisal 17 mmboe

    Leads1,186 mmboe

    Prospects510 mmboe

    Recent acquisitions add to overall portfolio volume

  • 8/17/2019 Presentasi Premiere oil

    54/61

    22nd March 2012 | Page 53

    UKP077: East FyneStingray

    NorwayPL374S: Blabaer 

    Bonneville

    Carnaby

    VietnamBlock 12W: CS NW

    AppraiseDrillEvaluate

    Acquire LicenceGate

    Drill Decision Gate

    AppraisalApproval Gate

    ProjectExtension

    Gate   M   E   A

       P

       N  o  r   t   h

       S  e  a

       A  s

       i  a

    Pre-Development

    Spaniards

    Coaster 

    Cougar Rapide

    Rocket

    K-32Badhra South

    Badhra-7

    NewYork

    Typhoon

    Lacewing

    Cyclone

    Tupai

     Anakonda

    B Sedang

    KakakTua

    B Kecil

    Sambar

    CRT

    SilverSillago

    Singa /Kuda Laut

    PeudawaRayeu

     AlurKacang

    BiawakBesar 

    Matang

    Benteng

    Baroosh

    Badhra-6 Parh

    Norfolk

    Moth E.

    Moth S.

    Cornet

    Dino

    Luno II

    Recent acquisitions add to overall portfolio volume

    LEADS PROSPECTS MATUREPROSPECTS

    UNDER APPRAISAL

  • 8/17/2019 Presentasi Premiere oil

    55/61

    22nd March 2012 | Page 54

    Carnaby

    Carnaby

    Carnaby (28/9)

    • Premier 35% equity

    • Gross prospective resource estimate

     – 15-30-50 mmbo (Tay reservoir)

    • Expected phase oil – Gas in shallower Eocene targets (Upper Tay)

    • New 3D seismic data work ongoing

    • Well planned for Q2 2012

    Varadero

    Carnaby Catcher N & E

    Catcher Main

    Catcher E

    Carnaby

    Varadero

    NS

    Lower Tay

    Upper Tay

    Burgman

    Cromarty Depth Structure

    Carnaby Prospect

    Eocene ( Lower Tay) amplitude extraction

    Carnaby

    Burgman

    Burgman

    Exploration – North SeaCoaster 

  • 8/17/2019 Presentasi Premiere oil

    56/61

    22nd March 2012 | Page 55

    Coaster (28/10a)

    • Premier 100% equity, TAQA farmedinto 50% interest

    • Gross prospective resource estimate13-50-125 mmboe (on block)

    • Eocene and Palaeocene reservoirs

    • Risk assessment: high

     – Critical factor: trap and charge• Well due to spud Q2 2012

    Rapide

    Cougar 

    Varadero

    Catcher North

    JU1

    Catcher Tiger 

    Burgman

    Rocket

    Paso

    Bonneville Area

    Vincent

    Coaster 

    JU2

    Carnaby

    Exploration – North SeaStingray

  • 8/17/2019 Presentasi Premiere oil

    57/61

    22nd March 2012 | Page 56

    Stingray (P1212) (15/13b)

    • Premier 50% equity, block awarded in 2004

    • Gross prospective resource estimate (on block)

     – 12-30-90 mmboe• Risk assessment: moderate

     – Critical factor: trap – sealing fault to the north cannot beaccurately determined

    • Planned spud date Q2 2012

    g y

    Stingray Prospect

    Stingray

    Exploration – North SeaSpaniards

  • 8/17/2019 Presentasi Premiere oil

    58/61

    22nd March 2012 | Page 57

    Spaniards (P1655)

    • Premier equity 28% and Operator,adjacent to Scott infrastructure

    • Gross prospective resource estimate: – 10-30-40 mmbo

    • Risk assessment: high

     – Critical factor: reservoir development

    • Primary Target:

     – Jurassic Galley Sands (oil)

     – Appraising down dip extent of crestaloil discoveries in wells 15/21a-38zand 15/21-2

    • Well planned for Q3 2012

    Top Galley Sand Depth

    14/25a-5

    Perth

    H a l i b u t  H o r s t 

    Spaniards WestRyazanian

    Spaniards EastGalley

    Spaniards CentralGalley

    p

    Exploration – AsiaBiawak Besar 

  • 8/17/2019 Presentasi Premiere oil

    59/61

    22nd March 2012 | Page 58

    Biawak Besar (Natuna Sea Block A)

    • Premier: 28.67% equity and Operator 

    • Gross prospective resource estimate 13-15-17 mmboe

    • Risk assessment: low – Critical factor: lateral seal presence

    • Potential in a stratigraphic trap down-dip of the Iguana-1discovery

    • Well planned for Q2 2012

    Top Arang Depth

    C.I.=100 metres2000m

    Iguana Discovery

    Biawak Besar-1

    Biawak Besar PTD 5950 ft MD

    Top Lama

    PTD

    500m

    SENW

    PRIMARYTARGET

    Biawak Besar 

    Exploration – AsiaMatang

  • 8/17/2019 Presentasi Premiere oil

    60/61

    22nd March 2012 | Page 59

    Matang (Block A Aceh)

    • Premier equity 41.67%

    • Gross prospective resource estimate 20-40-70 mmboe(whole structure)

    • Risk assessment: low

     – Critical factor: reservoir presence

     – 250 BCF follow on potential in the success case

    • Well planned for Q3 2012

    500m

    EW

    Top Belumai 

    Matang-1PTD 3000m MD

    Matang

    Top N4 BelumaiCarbonate

    C.I.=50 metres1 Km

    Matang-1

    g

  • 8/17/2019 Presentasi Premiere oil

    61/61

    22nd March 2012 | Page 60www.premier-oil.com March 2012