TAREA PLANEAMIENTO Y CONTROL DE LA PRODUCCION
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Transcript of TAREA PLANEAMIENTO Y CONTROL DE LA PRODUCCION
Año Trimestre Año TrimestrePROMEDIO
2009
1 9.2
2010
1 10.3 9.752 5.4 2 6.4 5.93 4.3 3 5.4 4.854 14.1 4 16 15.05
8.8875
2009
1 1 9.2 1.09704641 8.386153852 2 5.4 0.66385373 8.134322033 3 4.3 0.54571027 7.879639184 4 14.1 1.69338959 8.32649502
2010
5 1 10.3 1.09704641 9.388846156 2 6.4 0.66385373 9.640677977 3 5.4 0.54571027 9.895360828 4 16 1.69338959 9.44850498
2011
9 1 11.0774528 1.09704641 10.097524310 2 6.88178558 0.66385373 10.366418511 3 5.8037994 0.54571027 10.635312812 4 18.4650708 1.69338959 10.9042071
Ventas (millones
de dolares)
Ventas (millones
de dolares)
PRONOSTICO DE DATOS ESTACIONALIZADOS
PRONOSTICO DE DATOS DESTACIONALIZADOS
1.09700.66390.54571.6934
FACTOR DE ESTACIONALIDAD
Año TrimestreInventario
1 1 205 Trimestre
2008 2 2 180 1 221.6666667 0.98154981553 3 210 2 193.3333333 0.856088560894 4 230 3 235 1.04059040595 1 220 4 253.3333333 1.12177121771
2009 6 2 190 225.83333337 3 2308 4 2509 1 240
2010 10 2 21011 3 26512 4 280
2008
1 1 205 208.8533835 0.9815498152 2 180 210.2586207 0.8560885613 3 210 201.8085106 1.0405904064 4 230 205.0328947 1.121771218
2009
5 1 220 224.1353383 0.9815498156 2 190 221.9396552 0.8560885617 3 230 221.0283688 1.0405904068 4 250 222.8618421 1.121771218
2010
9 1 240 244.5112782 0.98154981510 2 210 245.3017241 0.85608856111 3 265 254.6631206 1.04059040612 4 280 249.6052632 1.121771218
2011
13 1 251.6713911 256.4020563 0.98154981514 2 223.5289496 261.1049368 0.85608856115 3 276.5970645 265.8078173 1.04059040616 4 303.4511148 270.5106977 1.121771218
(miles de cajas)
Promedio Trimestral
Factor de Estacionalidad
t = 0.0642981520.4072751
LS LI
252.983541 250.359241224.8411 222.2168
277.909214 275.284915304.763265 302.138965
ERROR =