Bazari Reynolds Presentation 2

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    Sustainable Energy in

    Marine Transportation

    Zabi Bazari and Gill Reynolds

    Lloyds Register EMEA

    IMarEST Conference,

    Sustainable Shipping, 1-2 February 2005

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    Content

    Introduction to fuel use and exhaustemissions;

    Energy sustainability analysis; International initiatives; Technology developments; Market-based mechanisms; Conclusions.

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    Marine Transport

    Energy Use and Exhaust Emissions

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    World Oil Demand

    World Oil De man

    55

    19

    10

    16

    64

    16

    6

    14

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    80

    90

    100

    T ransport Indust ry P ower Gen. Others

    Sector

    %O

    ilDemand

    2002

    2030

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    Bunker Demand

    Year 1970 2002

    Total oil demand [MTOE] 2413 3676

    International marine bunker

    [MTOE]

    106 146

    Bunker [% of world oil demand] 4.34% 3.97%

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    Share of Marine in Transportation CO2

    Light duty

    road

    vehicles

    45%

    Heavy duty

    road

    vehicles

    30%

    Rail, inland

    w ater

    6%

    Aircraft

    12%

    Maritime

    7%

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    Summary on Fuel Consumption and Emissions

    Source Share of Marine

    World oil consumption 3.97%World fossil fuel

    consumption

    1.95%

    Oil consumption bytransport sector

    7.2%

    Wold NOx due to fossilfuels

    11% - 12%

    World SOx due to fossilfuels

    7%

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    Freight Transport

    Energy Sustainability Analysis

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    Sustainable Energy Indices

    Energy Intensity: Amount of energy neededper unit of transport activity (kJ/t-km);

    CO2 Emissions Intensity: Amount of CO2generated per unit of transport activity (g/t-

    km).

    NOx Emissions Intensity: Amount of NOxgenerated per unit of transport activity (g/t-

    km).

    SOx Emissions Intensity: Amount of SOxgenerated per unit of transport activity (g/t-

    km).

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    Estimation Method

    Energy Intensity: Taken fromliterature;

    CO 2 Emissions Intensity: Estimatedusing energy intensity, fuel heatingvalue and fuel carbon content;

    NOx Emissions Intensity: Estimatedusing energy intensity, fuel heating

    value and NOx emission factor. SOx Emissions Intensity: Estimatedusing energy intensity, fuel heatingvalue and fuel sulphur content.

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    Comparisons: Energy Intensity

    0

    2000

    4000

    6000

    8000

    10000

    12000

    14000

    16000

    Air Road Rai l Marine

    EnergyIntensity[kJ/t-km

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    Comparisons: CO2 Intensity

    0

    20 0

    40 0

    60 0

    80 0

    1000

    1200

    Ai r Road Rai l Mari n e

    CO2Intensity[g

    /t-km]

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    Comparisons: NOx Intensity

    0

    1000

    2000

    3000

    4000

    5000

    6000

    Ai r Road Rai l Mari n e

    NOxIntensity[g/t-km

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    Comparisons: SOx Intensity

    0

    20 0

    40 0

    60 0

    80 0

    1000

    1200

    Ai r Road Rai l Mari ne

    SOxIntensity

    [g/t-km

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    Energy Intensity versus Ship Size (Tankers)

    Energy Intens ity versus Displace

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000 300,000 350,000 400,000

    Disp lacem en t [ ton

    Energyintensity[kJ/t-km]

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    Overall Picture

    Marine freight transportation has:Lowest energy and CO

    2emission

    intensities;

    Lowest NOx emissions intensity but a

    reduced gap with other modes in

    particular rail;

    Higher level of SOx emissions thanroad and rail but still lower than air

    transport.

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    Reasons for Action

    More stringent emissions control targets forother modes of transport;

    Issues relating to port air quality and shipoperation in environmentally sensitive areas;

    The relatively high level of NOx emissions factorof marine engines;

    The high level of sulphur content of marine fuels; The economic factor: Any reduction in CO2

    proportionally leads to fuel saving.

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    International Initiatives

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    Climate Change Convention

    COP(Conference of Parties)

    SBSTA(Subsidiary Body for

    Scientific and Technical

    Advice)

    SBI(Subsidiary Body

    for Implementation)

    UNFCCCAgreed: Rio 1992

    Ratified: 1994

    Kyoto ProtocolAgreed: Kyoto 1997

    Ratified: 2005

    IMO(Shipping)

    ICAO(Aircraft)

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    International Maritime Organisation (IMO)

    IMO Assembly

    MEPC(Marine Environment Protection

    Committee)

    MSC(Marine Safety Committee)

    Air Pollution from Ships(Dealing with NOx, SOx, GHG

    emissions, )

    Ballast Water Ship Recycling

    Current Working Groups

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    IMO Activities on GHG Emissions

    Study of GHG emissions from shipping(report published in 2000);

    Resolution A.963(23) on IMO policiesand practices related to reduction ofGHG emissions from ships (2003):

    The Working Group is currentlyexploring technical and operational

    issues relating to ways of reducing CO2

    emissions.

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    European Union (EU)

    EU is active on all aspects of energy sustainability:Pollutant control;

    Fuel sulphur control;

    Emissions trading.

    For marine transport, the main emphasis is on fuelsulphur for ships operating within the EU waters;

    Directive 1999/32/EC sets future tough limits:1.5% fuel sulphur limit in North Sea/English Channel& Baltic, compatible with IMOs SECA (May 2006 for

    the Baltic);1.5% fuel sulphur limit for passenger ships on regularservices between EU ports (July 2007);

    0.2% fuel sulphur limit for inland vessels and ships atberth in EU ports (0.1% from 2010).

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    Local Requirements

    Mainly in USA:The US EPA aims to bring the IMO MARPOL AnnexVI NOx emissions limits into force for US flaggedships;

    In Alaska, exhaust emission opacity limits havebeen introduced;

    Ships visiting Californian ports are required tooperate on MDO rather than HFO;

    Designation of selected areas as SECAs is alsoanticipated.

    Other local incentive schemes:Swedish environmentally differentiated fairwaysand port dues;

    Recent Hamburgs environmentally differentiatedport dues.

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    Technology Developments

    Alternative fuels:Low sulphur fuels;

    Natural gas;

    Hydrogen.

    Alternative Technologies:Natural gas (dual fuel) engines;

    Fuel cell;

    Electric ship;

    Energy EfficiencyEnergy efficient technologies;

    Operational controls;

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    Low Sulphur Fuel

    Move to lower sulphur fuel seems to be inevitable (Unlesscost effective flue gas desulphurisation systems become

    available);

    Issues:Fuel price differentials and economic consequences;

    Adaptability of engine technologies to low sulphur fuels;

    Lack of widespread availability of low sulphur bunkers;

    Ship design and operational complexities associated

    with the use of multiple fuel storage and distribution

    systems.

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    Natural Gas

    A clean and low-carbon fuel; Significant worldwide reserves; In transportation, mainly used in light duty road

    vehicles;

    Marine application is limited to LNG ships; Favourable prospect:Production of dual fuel diesel engines;

    Development of fuel cells;

    Seen as a precursor to future hydrogen economy. Major technical issues:Storage (Main barrier);

    Safety.

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    Fuel Cell

    + ve- ve

    Fuel

    channel

    Oxidant

    channel Cathode

    ElectrolyteAnode

    Bipolar

    plate

    End plate

    + ve- ve

    Fuel

    channel

    Oxidant

    channel Cathode

    ElectrolyteAnode

    Bipolar

    plate

    End plate

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    Fuel Cell

    Compared to thermal power plants:Very effective in reducing pollutant;

    Some energy efficiency gains especially in combined

    heat and power configuration;

    Issues:Technical (low power density, high specific weight, high

    specific volume, low reliability and so on);

    Needs very clean gaseous fuel (almost sulphur free)

    Hydrogen is ideal;

    Natural gas require internal fuel reformer;

    Other liquid fuels require external reformer including desulphurisation unit.

    Cost.

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    Electric Ship

    Mainly naval applications and to some extent passengerships; Significant flexibility in terms of machinery arrangement; Not yet as efficient as conventional mechanical drive ships; Driving force:

    Specific operational requirements;

    Advent of podded propulsors;

    Multi-engine power management systems;

    Future potential use of fuel cells;

    Future use of shore power;

    Future potential use of electrical storage devices;

    Moves in automotive sector towards hybrid-electricsystems.

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    Technology Roadmap

    Fuel

    M ore

    sustainab

    Engine Propulsio

    H F O o r

    M D O

    Fuel Cell

    Dual fuel diesel/

    C O D A G

    Diesel

    Electrical

    Hybrid/electric

    system

    Direct/geare

    drive

    Hydroge

    Natural Ga

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    Market-based Mechanisms

    Emissions Trading; Fairways and port dues; Fuel price.

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    Fuel Price

    It is an effective market mechanism for uptake of newtechnologies; Has adverse effect on the economy of ship operation; Advantages:

    Cleaner fuels become more cost-effective;

    Makes the ETS activities more cost-effective bycorrespondingly raising CO2 prices;

    Cleaner and more efficient new technologiesbecome more cost effective;

    Improves operational and fleet managementpractices in a manner that reduces fuelconsumption.

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    Conclusions

    On energy sustainability andcompared to other modes of freighttransport, marine transportation:

    Is the most sustainable mode of

    transport from climate changepoint of view;

    Has the lowest NOx emissionsintensity;

    Its SOx emissions intensity ishigher than road and rail butstill lower than air transport.

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    Conclusions

    To improve the marinetransport energysustainability further:Fuel sulphur needs further reduction

    preferably by setting medium to longterm targets;

    Energy rating standards, for shipdesign and operation, should bedeveloped and implemented (in-line

    with IMOs current activities);

    Market-based mechanisms, includingETS, need to be monitored for futureapplication in marine.

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    Conclusions

    On future fuels and technologies:Natural gas is seen as the precursor

    to move to hydrogen economy.

    Storage capacity is the main barrier

    to its use in ships.

    The use of hydrogen, as the fuel, and

    fuel cells as the main power plant

    will evolve in the longer term as the

    shift to a low-carbon / hydrogen

    economy occurs.

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    Conclusions

    On future fuels and technologies:The above moves, plus other

    developments (e.g. electric storage,

    shore power, podded drives, etc.),

    would lead to future stronger movestowards electric ships.

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    Thank You