Midterm Presentation 02-04-2012

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    MAP Midterm Presentation

    April 2, 2012

    Calvina Cheng, Elvira Mah, Raj Sharan, David Yang

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    Objective Ross MAP Team will explore feasibility of operationally sustainable

    hub & spoke style business model for VisionSpring in India

    Scope

    Focus on Karnal district, Haryana for pilot

    Conduct field & secondary research to achieve following:

    Validate financial feasibility of hub

    Test-drive marketing campaigns to drive demand

    Explore partnerships to increase credibility

    Propose enhancements to spoke operations

    Deliverables

    High-level business plan with actionable recommendations

    Project Overview

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    Phase 1

    Understand scope of project

    Travel to India, meet with ground team, and visit potential sites to do initial analysis

    Gather and analyze relevant data to conduct Phase 2 work

    Phase 2

    Gather data by conducting interviews and surveys in Karnal and high potential towns/villages togauge feasibility of hub operations

    Process data constantly to drive next days efforts

    Phase 3

    Evaluate collected data and explore variables that affect sustainability of hub and spoke model

    Outline recommendations for profitably applying the hub and spoke model in India

    Develop and present interim presentation to VisionSpring team

    Phase 4

    Incorporate VisionSpring feedback, and conduct further field & secondary research

    Develop and deliver final presentation deck and written report (business plan) to VisionSpring

    Timeline & Methodology

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    Nearly 65% of Karnal District Residents Need Eyeglasses,

    But Do Not Currently Own Them

    898,219 Karnal district residents need

    eyeglasses

    When the focus is shifted to

    urban residents in Karnal city,the number of those in need,

    but without represents a pool

    of approximately 195,948

    people

    These residents currently have

    plentiful options to buy

    eyeglasses in Karnal

    Based on our analysis, webelieve VisionSpring can enter

    the market and be profitable

    despite existing competition

    739,026 Karnal district

    residents needeyeglasses and do not

    have them

    Source: Theoretical demand estimates based on 2001 India

    census data and 2008 Essilor BOP Strategy in India report

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    Market Landscape Karnal Spokes

    Villagers prefer eye screening camps due toconvenience: minimize travel and time-off

    work, women dont need male relative escort

    to travel to store, etc.

    Previous glasses owners have purchased

    from word-of-mouth sources WTP for prescription glasses: up to 500 INR

    Occupations: primarily Farmers and

    Housewives

    Convenience and trust are two main factors that drive purchasing

    decision for glasses in villages.

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    Competitive Landscape - Karnal Hub

    Number of customers/day: 10-20

    ASP of prescription glasses: 350 INR

    Education: High school plus 2 yrs

    hospital on-the-job training

    Years in Business: 10+ years

    Product / Services Mix: 90% Rx

    glasses, most patients already have a

    prescription

    Current customer base is informed and cost-conscious, though

    interested in viewing various designs and brands.

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    VisionSpring Should Target Middle Class Karnal Residents

    Tehsil -Rural

    KarnalDistrict -Rural

    (Villagers)

    KarnalResidentsLower Class

    KarnalResidentsUpper Class

    KarnalResidentsMiddle Class

    Tehsil -Urban

    Target Market:- Karnal (district HQ) residents (total pop: 579,485 as of

    2001)

    - Target middle class residents, ages 35 55, earning ~

    10,000 15,000 monthly)

    - Consumers value style and price over quality

    Already well served

    by government

    programs, otherNGOs and Arpana

    Hospital

    - Will prefer brand name

    products

    - Not ideal to rely on low

    volume, high ASP products

    Served by

    VisionSpring vans

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    Marketing Plan Preliminary Assessment of Karnal Hub

    Promotions and Place are areas that VS can differentiate itself from

    other stores in Karnal city

    Close proximity to hospitals

    Create a comfortable, clean,but not flashy shoppingenvironment

    Cross-promotions

    Easy access to info

    Enhanced customerexperience

    Partnership with Arpana

    Readers, Rx,

    sunglasses Variety: ~50 pairs

    Free eye check-ups

    Outsource productofferings that are moreexpensive

    Readers: 100+ INR

    Rx glasses: 320-600INR

    Sunglasses: TBD(same)

    Full-range options

    Product

    Price

    Promotion

    Place

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    Marketing Plan Promotions for Karnal Hub

    Credibility and greater brand awareness in market is critical given

    long-standing stores by local entrepreneurs

    Cross-promotions

    VS posters in local coffee stores, hair salons, grocery stores

    Create brand awareness and navigate interdependencies

    Easy access to information

    Fliers in-/outside hospitals, website with basic store(s) information

    Enhanced customer experience Offer eye checkup services, create comfortable shopping environment

    Partnership with Aparna (or other local hospital)

    Driver for traffic

    Builds greater recognition and credibility depending on level of collaboration

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    Hub Operations: Similarities to Existing Competition

    Considerable similarities in a competitive and well-served market,

    unlike in El Salvador

    Product Offerings Readers, Rx, coatings,

    progressives, transitions,

    multiple frames, etc.

    Location

    Main market strip

    Turnaround Time

    Under 60 minutes for most

    Rx. Rest sourced from

    manufacturer in New Delhi

    Price

    Readers: > 100 INR

    Rx

    90% of sales between

    320-600 INR 10% of sales > 600 INR

    Hub

    Similarities

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    Hub Operations: Differences to Existing Competition

    VisionSpring Hub Competition VS Advantage / Disadvantage

    Size &Design

    600 Sq. Ft., including testingand workshop area; clean &

    welcoming, but not flashy

    300 Sq. Ft. 1200 Sq.Ft., dowdy

    Advantage - Clean store withample display shelves to

    draw customers

    Staff 2 professional trained and

    attired staff

    1 2, owner + help Advantage - Trained local

    technicians can explain the

    benefits of product and

    provide higher quality

    serviceEye check-up Examined by professional on-site Not typically offered,

    referred to

    ophthalmologist

    No value add Customers

    prefer check-up at hospital due

    to low cost

    Ownership Corporate Local entrepreneur Disadvantage Credibility with

    target market missing

    Sunglasses Unbranded Branded and Unbranded Disadvantage - Inventory

    management complex withbranded

    Not many significant advantages, VS will need to carefully positionthemselves to capture market share

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    Preliminary Financial Analysis of a Karnal Hub Store

    - Estimated with 1 hub in Karnal, VisionSpring can

    conservatively generate approximately INR 300,000

    in profit annually

    - VisionSpring would be able to cover fixed costs for

    at least 3 of the vans operating in Northern India

    (assuming partial cost coverage by current sales invillages)

    - To achieve 100% cost coverage, including

    overhead, VisionSpring will need to increase foot

    traffic and sales

    - VisionSpring may need to reconsider average

    selling price of their readers, given primary

    research conducted with stores

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    The Current Van Model Is Predicted To Remain a Cost

    Center Going Forward

    With four existing vans, high fixed costs, and low transaction prices,and an assumed a 15% conversion rate, our model anticipates

    yearly losses in three cases:

    Source: India 2012 Base Plan Final Version.xlsx

    Note: Costs of operations are assumed to be constant in all scenarios; assumed 300 selling days/year

    Low Medium High

    50 people/day 65 people/day 75 people/day

    15,000 people/year 19,500 people/year 22,500 people/year

    2,400 pairs sold/year 3,000 pairs sold/year 3,300 pairs sold/year

    INR 424,800 Loss INR 267,000 Loss INR 188,100 Loss

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    But Can Achieve Improved Cost Coverage with Hub

    Support and Operational Improvements.

    Additional hubs in teshils in Karnal district can potentially support

    increased van services A staggered launch of additional hubs will drive increased revenues

    in the Karnal district

    VisionSpring should consider internal capabilities to support andmange a dramatically different model than what currently exists

    We are investigating other ideas for operational improvements,including:

    Scheduling predictable van visits to villages, thereby increasingVisionSpring awareness and providing multiple opportunities toprovide services to villagers

    Increasing marketing/awareness/education efforts to villagers

    Forming partnerships with other local NGOs to provide symbioticservices

    Refer cataract patients at VS camps to Arpana

    Run eye care camps in partnership with other health camps

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    Next Steps

    April 26

    Complete Field Research in Karnal focus on collecting primaryresearch to support VisionSpring positioning & marketing efforts

    Explore feasibility of additional hubs in teshils

    April 23 Deliver Final Presentation to VisionSpring

    By

    April 26

    Submit Final Report to VisionSpring

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    Questions?