MODELACION3

7/17/2019 MODELACION3

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Unidades Unidades

Trupillo 3.1 años 0.22359586 %/años 1.25056552

Manatí 37.6 años 0.01843477 %/años 1.01860573

17 minutos 0.04077336 %/minuto 1.04161601

irus 210 se!undos 0.0033007 %/se!undos 1.00330615

"roto#oo 11.1 $oras 0.06244569 %/$oras 1.06443665

om&re(om)n

Tiempo dedupli(a(i*n

Tasa de(re(imientoinstantaneo

+r,

Tasas -nitasde

(re(imiento+,

a(teria(oliorme



Unidades !ual unidades

0.2236

0.0184

21445.1583

104162.1975

547.3989

umero de

indiiduos/+indiiduoaño,

umero deindiiduos/

+indiiduoaño,

umero deindiiduos/

+indiiduominuto,

umero de

indiiduos/+indiiduose!undo,

umero deindiiduos/

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_ 〖 0 〗̂

donde 0 _ 2

_ 〖2 〗 0 0 2/ 2=^ ln+2,→ = )) (( /

=^



esumen

Estadísticas de la regresión

oe-(iente d 0.9583522825oe-(iente d 0.91843909732 austad 0.9136413972

:rror típi(o 9053.1089825398;&sera(ione 19

<=>?? @: <<A<Grados de libertad a de cuadra io de los cua F lor crítico de

e!resi*n 1 1.569:B010 1.569:B010 191.433201 1.1076:C010esiduos 17 1393299298 81958782.2

Total 18 1.708:B010

Coefcientes Error típico Estadístico t Probabilidad Inerior 95

nter(ep(i*n 10295935.9649123 740946.048 13.8956622 1.0352:C010 8732676.45aria&le D 1 C5246.4912281 379.193008 C13.8359387 1.1076:C010 C6046.51854



F

Superior 95nerior 95!"uperior 95!"

11859195.5 8732676.45 11859195.5C4446.46391 C6046.51854 C4446.46391



esumen

Estadísticas de la regresión

oe-(iente d 0.9981515955oe-(iente d 0.99630660772 austad 0.9960893493

:rror típi(o 0.0464241081;&sera(ione 19

<=>?? @: <<A<Grados de liberta a de cuadra io de los cua F lor crítico de

e!resi*n 1 9.8833375 9.8833375 4585.81456 4.0195:C022esiduos 17 0.03663836 0.0021552

Total 18 9.91997586

Coefcientes Error típico Estadístico t Probabilidad Inerior 95

nter(ep(i*n 267.75202267 3.79955212 70.4693643 2.0473:C022 259.735668aria&le D 1 C0.131678353 0.00194449 C67.7186427 4.0195:C022 C0.135780870 1.91967:B116



F

Superior 95nerior 95!"uperior 95!"

275.768377 259.735668 275.768377C0.12757583 C0.13578087 C0.12757583



?:>:E @: M;@:>;? :;>;F; M;@:>; ?:>:;<@;modelo t & B mt T:; :M">:<@;modelo t 0ert

n 19 nm C5246.4912281 p1 2 p2& 10295935.9649123 ??1 1.39:B09 ??2

0 1.92:B116 2 <@G1 0.9082439845 2 <@G2r C0.1316784

t t "redi($o 1 esidual 1 "redi($o 21945 111000 91510.5263 379839584.49 113280.971946 93000 86264.0351 45373223.299 993051947 87600 81017.5439 43328728.84 870531948 82000 75771.0526 38799785.319 763121949 64000 70524.5614 42569901.508 668971950 61200 65278.0702 16630656.356 58644

1951 49700 60031.5789 106741523.55 514081952 45500 54785.0877 86212853.955 450661953 41900 49538.5965 58348156.356 395061954 36800 44292.1053 56131641.274 346321955 28600 39045.614 109110852.57 303591956 26050 33799.1228 60048904.278 266131957 22900 28552.6316 31952243.767 233301958 21800 23306.1404 2268458.7565 204511959 17900 18059.6491 25487.842413 179281960 15100 12813.1579 5229646.8144 157161961 14200 7566.66667 44001111.111 137771962 12300 2320.17544 99596898.276 120771963 10000 C2926.31579 167089639.89 10587

37126

r C0.13167835280 1.919667294809:B116



t 0ert?

192

1.12:B08

0.9925953427

esidual 2 ln t +HiCH, I2 tlnt5202822.886 11.6172855 66707.8947 3783025 22595.6203

39749162.3 11.4403548 48707.8947 3786916 22262.9304299460.84214 11.3805363 43307.8947 3790809 22157.904132348194.404 11.3144745 37707.8947 3794704 22040.59648394026.1462 11.0666384 19707.8947 3798601 21568.87826534887.4043 11.0219025 16907.8947 3802500 21492.7098

2918541.0259 10.8137602 5407.89474 3806401 21097.6462188565.77463 10.7254676 1207.89474 3810304 20936.11285732785.5044 10.6430411 C2392.10526 3814209 20785.85934702040.4095 10.5132531 C7492.10526 3818116 20542.89663093509.4589 10.261162 C15692.1053 3822025 20060.5717317253.48298 10.167773 C18242.1053 3825936 19888.1641184716.87663 10.0388922 C21392.1053 3829849 19646.1121818652.2326 9.98966525 C22492.1053 3833764 19559.7646794.59188157 9.79255599 C26392.1053 3837681 19183.6172

379777.4153 9.62245002 C29192.1053 3841600 18860.002178730.79125 9.56099724 C30092.1053 3845521 18749.115649533.259298 9.41735454 C31992.1053 3849444 18476.8496344991.80815 9.21034037 C34292.1053 3853369 18079.8982

198.597905 72544774 387985.249

19C20000

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

190

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000



4 1946 1948 1950 1952 1954 1956 1958 1960 1962 1964

t

"redi($o 1

4 1946 1948 1950 1952 1954 1956 1958 1960 1962 1964

t

"redi($o 2



t t &0 0.061945 111000 &1 0.141946 93000 d 0.041947 87600 r0 0.021948 82000 r1 0.11949 64000 0 1.02020134 1.02

1950 61200 1 1.10517092 1.11951 49700 t 30.0868139 31.876879

1952 455001953 419001954 368001955 286001956 260501957 229001958 218001959 17900

1960 151001961 142001962 123001963 10000



=_ _ 0 ̂ )∗ (_∗

, − _=_ _ 0 =ln ) =^ ( ∴ = _ ln )(_ −l ( _ 0)

_ / _0 ^ )= (_∗

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= _0 ) (_/ / _

_0 )/(ln )− _0)" " )=(_/ (_ l(

0 , +=(_/ / /_ 0 ,J J



"<<M:T;? @: M;@:>; @:T:M? :?TM<; @: @?":?; @: >;? @<0 100 ";M:@; 0.1 <<A<K 1000 @:?<; :?T<@<

;:L:T: @: <<;t t

0 1001 1092 118.71193 129.1738384 140.4226345 152.4930466 165.4169387 179.2223558 193.9325259 209.564796

10 226.12953511 243.62903212 262.05642413 281.3947114 301.61588215 322.68025716 344.53602817 367.11912318 390.3533919 414.15115220 438.4141521 463.03486822 487.89822623 512.88358124 537.86698225 562.72359126 587.33016627 611.5675128 635.3227829 658.49155430 680.979597

31 702.70423532 723.59533533 743.59584734 762.66195435 780.76282336 797.88004737 814.00679538 829.146768

0 200

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

GRAFICA DE CRECIMIE!" #"GI$!IC"

.0l2*.n (%)



39 843.31300940 856.52662641 868.81550342 880.21301543 890.75682244 900.487732

45 909.4486946 917.68386747 925.23788648 932.1551649 938.47935250 944.25293751 949.5168752 954.31032853 958.67054154 962.632675

55 966.22977556 969.49275557 972.4504158 975.12947159 977.5546760 979.74882461 981.7329362 983.52626963 985.14650364 986.6097965 987.93088266 989.12322767 990.19907468 991.16956169 992.04480770 992.83399871 993.54546372 994.1867573 994.76469674 995.28548675 995.754714

76 996.17744177 996.55823578 996.90122779 997.21014480 997.48835281 997.73888682 997.96448683 998.167623



84 998.35052585 998.515286 998.6634687 998.79693588 998.91709789 999.02527

90 999.12264891 999.21030692 999.28921393 999.36024194 999.42417695 999.48172596 999.53352697 999.58015298 999.62211999 999.659893

100 999.693892



;? ";M:@; @:> M;@:>; :?T;<?T;765.087963 0 10090646.7391 0 0.1301.075969 K 1000

39.35% 0.2t t

0 1001 104.3514482 55.76852523 49.76553444 43.07389165 39.36133936 51.99164937 53.20019488 63.8253079 87.2501307

10 128.32756211 153.35114712 179.88243913 246.74546314 317.96431615 359.38367116 344.42590817 330.51208218 341.08305119 433.91246220 473.81210921 502.3549122 484.25276123 567.77307224 575.39375325 667.74728226 658.81757727 677.7820828 647.10169829 700.30124130 758.480949

31 856.76841332 888.8539733 935.94497334 943.90937435 928.09026436 913.42277937 902.40488438 880.291241

40 60 80 100 120

DI$CRE!" DE!ERMII$!IC" %=%&R%'(1%/)

%t

!*+,-. (%)



39 882.60400240 891.15804641 930.88085242 927.64303343 933.99164344 943.432186

45 954.20630646 961.68476747 971.48437848 974.9664349 977.90323350 985.64024551 989.43200852 989.26577553 995.8472354 997.03813

55 997.22721356 997.69410657 997.78081358 998.04633259 998.50114560 998.40946561 998.93832462 999.19161563 999.03780764 999.23740865 999.15837166 999.30360967 999.39008768 999.56176569 999.67397170 999.60623671 999.62171972 999.56276873 999.67049974 999.69468775 999.804076

76 999.82376177 999.77692478 999.83969679 999.85056780 999.85085681 999.84796482 999.88113783 999.932115



84 999.93160885 999.97444586 999.9897887 999.99095488 999.99233789 999.992317

90 999.99199791 999.99462492 999.99387393 999.9946294 999.99428395 999.99366896 999.99357297 999.99601598 999.99692299 999.99726

100 999.997236

?MU><;:?

t/i 1 2 31 134.256247 91.9703919 96.1771288432 119.139137 82.2978841 112.126706473 128.001512 76.4710654 108.671382174 130.054531 99.4869668 124.169077365 157.031873 125.803501 141.607437826 221.22376 146.581167 192.144464717 183.938797 179.736821 194.589723828 187.842292 205.557804 226.117253189 220.900937 213.123177 244.39742768

10 250.340157 299.274068 273.5989912511 270.409412 424.838874 238.3880173912 322.559937 478.533288 258.8274407213 341.219876 476.976456 318.7881088314 348.494536 517.347578 307.0576754415 344.789093 603.889831 325.9722628116 430.012142 604.763617 353.86824685

17 468.142192 679.550637 406.8494611118 500.9006 656.715255 445.6161101519 501.145921 725.173078 555.804715720 540.728653 718.583081 562.9794238621 476.543202 733.813726 562.0433611122 433.424466 811.691875 532.0763492723 506.254348 867.792158 664.6172640524 521.481551 880.137744 683.3049361



25 562.086865 897.061047 638.4685437426 530.524508 879.62182 704.9179082227 497.561298 883.586138 721.2141190128 567.490986 904.007052 788.2362872929 622.659839 882.935492 811.6656067930 642.624362 835.960443 815.05109366

31 675.090439 866.444459 859.9833234532 696.099748 872.106086 886.2541494633 707.708053 873.295369 885.847533334 714.995638 910.025792 878.8843590735 759.522379 911.168543 901.0956071836 779.884063 915.571106 914.2436689937 800.704404 915.638322 918.9935857438 784.125403 902.495487 904.1261675639 815.38475 921.028053 899.7191913940 795.991852 919.929381 893.23391126

41 830.769909 920.496295 893.6623787342 790.796594 923.888315 916.0789098343 834.891991 955.888157 918.5536219644 845.455055 955.430207 906.2684578345 841.143916 958.143859 927.0824153646 864.330007 961.836241 934.0089091147 866.866871 974.670825 952.4197663448 835.380543 977.468729 961.2753856449 812.711624 985.030817 972.9284860950 819.885412 983.941103 972.6955469851 814.947966 983.138753 973.0597478652 817.820064 981.290126 979.541633253 830.841007 978.85019 980.0906135354 847.057024 976.885043 984.8654778955 863.71814 982.148178 983.7463945256 882.931414 984.648256 983.0030286357 868.177151 989.056747 986.178746458 883.29721 988.851535 985.3053584159 893.869694 988.199634 985.3225136660 896.932497 987.261439 987.2675136861 902.82304 990.427698 987.80770549

62 892.612609 991.959906 991.5788218863 920.458114 993.822036 994.7994867564 935.884066 995.736039 994.5396612865 925.846463 994.906002 996.2315940866 918.310414 995.786823 996.5111217267 930.823101 995.663088 996.9998654268 938.90304 996.411037 997.2876223469 931.747662 996.924717 997.31664435



70 935.717729 997.967966 997.2556588771 927.800262 997.600632 998.3092664972 933.68915 998.461474 997.8104792773 942.61766 998.583443 998.382148574 949.201618 998.563031 998.0594094775 951.094274 997.909817 997.95240807

76 973.38162 997.683067 999.4208389877 976.631833 998.149694 999.2518811278 990.125926 997.893656 999.2998899979 990.912333 998.421436 999.1746943280 989.889069 999.131276 999.4885310181 988.436574 999.306015 999.6898872182 989.192665 999.300818 999.661033283 990.841482 999.500124 999.6946362584 991.207817 999.568121 999.8652682685 991.0846 999.681176 999.8883322

86 991.037456 999.690946 999.9213496987 986.675547 999.777087 999.9322654588 987.485 999.823137 999.929485689 986.457548 999.835966 999.9278397190 985.470491 999.817654 999.925609791 985.054567 999.839759 999.9198486192 981.665761 999.84182 999.9308225293 987.41638 999.88107 999.9446090194 982.201977 999.882314 999.9478406695 986.58747 999.91432 999.9358611396 981.755075 999.930354 999.9428545997 989.692331 999.91489 999.9514180398 990.413498 999.9286 999.9615918999 997.57576 999.957092 999.96154548

100 998.992244 999.958933 999.96470715



0 20 400

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

GRAFICA DE CRECIMIE!" #"GI$!IC" DI

.0l2*.n (%)



t4 5 6 7 8 9

113.06787 119.698406 116.602968 115.724928 98.7277983 96.500225136.786228 124.217479 79.4971883 118.919798 80.3328851 117.221429165.705232 114.725747 75.2718715 118.640508 109.316651 142.908796189.744519 149.923441 84.577602 127.106037 146.937871 180.423811220.181026 125.348633 82.8819729 144.113411 156.811982 229.970457296.539333 99.8637748 90.1185665 204.301768 142.468514 273.36203373.480227 109.589114 109.748082 212.034726 157.664911 337.186886447.871144 85.5554892 129.738601 241.998138 157.362858 443.165013420.399826 111.067561 164.102243 259.877367 165.447976 477.505292431.142127 108.670506 158.216697 378.432659 192.268657 553.094446560.231461 119.587524 184.587867 413.883892 174.657008 564.792182613.314649 118.906643 224.144437 388.777608 231.677043 560.251478606.364396 112.755565 203.632202 451.247192 168.990798 623.757399642.003555 104.528326 234.311077 466.62155 200.659604 680.302851724.828095 151.406969 237.481718 420.954801 210.92091 646.815727825.85182 152.855776 207.465941 408.988644 167.062232 638.620815

828.126142 169.498513 278.277325 445.671244 166.510582 670.946008883.321963 200.460614 306.680601 511.761537 152.245911 655.104926855.081404 237.578092 329.258059 521.390431 120.402861 670.026629840.617914 264.863681 349.240844 474.257352 92.6616807 757.622275889.828245 350.538626 406.214663 543.510855 65.8428991 770.975451889.540242 443.575001 432.50519 564.528308 69.5871927 861.317128897.271734 458.860803 378.001881 576.520374 75.3982021 884.700229883.693119 497.509384 447.804264 563.893957 85.7071593 925.698252



876.6208 528.957291 481.331154 580.201264 104.088044 916.327452888.736639 531.082887 537.486061 618.954105 99.2784482 928.084107849.080553 495.349669 603.427584 666.464973 81.0968726 952.504208796.951545 566.547657 654.180236 750.029701 106.749423 969.224907745.963283 594.977191 647.86942 817.222304 134.764345 970.454492852.260149 633.391703 722.418109 838.218845 136.467065 964.314857

853.474208 689.582197 737.760841 881.882404 181.031941 965.065387857.018714 665.418565 780.088455 866.107972 211.442797 960.910506903.111921 679.439223 782.227684 873.193129 176.386457 963.924779892.819534 708.335602 809.415019 859.523258 206.214224 967.452637894.982114 718.56783 792.882211 865.975024 225.338527 958.121426887.113776 673.267535 754.642923 859.001451 225.592285 939.956406904.827666 743.809611 827.419351 866.902676 201.226152 951.176756925.451629 807.584687 857.893811 914.567658 238.914827 977.42077911.57983 884.105034 838.374645 922.063606 267.692109 970.782652940.04319 892.742405 817.3675 922.532072 256.95985 973.323746

943.470373 901.893332 839.321164 916.145749 279.600616 978.774722941.252355 887.972185 861.032871 932.823118 277.798663 977.961177943.350799 912.737362 835.501955 935.983338 337.194381 983.894257949.062828 890.358712 821.945728 957.798591 343.814238 979.781587955.024502 905.101598 826.622504 967.936753 404.416602 983.814625963.330117 902.22646 833.251163 979.305153 423.187729 987.667651963.429119 885.296686 868.29613 984.085132 425.577468 994.59701953.63171 886.569428 883.777935 987.4109 490.571666 995.222112948.47535 887.268156 940.932755 990.000875 549.216086 995.932435

941.157668 845.206892 945.838252 988.045765 569.15471 995.553649936.775501 890.979592 943.672439 993.444642 604.527293 997.071322

955.6206 925.605837 941.204543 995.213018 699.548347 997.526271956.720989 940.281976 958.026738 995.888396 723.653183 997.230438962.29423 954.898556 960.581817 996.260104 762.568812 997.432438

957.859719 950.817007 952.564506 997.304399 798.591129 998.643827964.331335 973.678099 966.636216 997.386125 841.455105 999.013749972.836449 978.923638 970.24375 997.12589 841.417261 998.609752988.14918 983.336356 972.292788 997.083027 847.905684 998.665423

986.666156 983.764605 970.887152 996.529897 892.308887 998.508204988.231984 985.367761 972.891364 996.606017 932.639404 999.161632986.295717 988.059073 969.051322 995.808206 945.701176 999.048765

985.774664 992.235213 965.763183 995.665125 974.800003 999.102004989.260796 993.654922 973.085374 995.183366 981.59943 999.3187987.509139 994.617056 970.729306 995.571758 981.40047 999.474827988.677221 993.541142 975.231932 997.637248 984.408072 999.640881992.813351 993.46466 977.164432 997.235394 984.562281 999.7002993.664339 994.434737 986.138509 997.983652 984.654703 999.766936995.440277 995.710972 991.425125 998.187043 988.786436 999.816981994.737291 996.022978 989.128199 999.369236 990.479663 999.842939



995.520834 997.309916 988.454767 999.442017 992.003634 999.841287996.420131 997.716942 989.570908 999.498959 991.881294 999.861329996.218726 997.647682 989.362658 999.75398 991.595818 999.831831994.812389 997.242517 991.269232 999.687782 993.628751 999.792535996.242811 997.892716 992.933747 999.674742 993.195763 999.786775996.876256 998.481162 993.141111 999.624136 992.554477 999.877457

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142.003659 79.7830474 169.177141 158.250324 103.36964 125.187744140.810263 104.842871 162.021416 173.646235 100.115193 140.70946133.727494 115.234224 157.233986 216.131523 90.1581738 125.459972136.038171 69.1518741 164.939134 215.54053 117.885666 107.267259114.956108 71.6793617 214.330154 182.149942 155.841753 139.228423149.355815 77.1653945 249.613377 244.447834 159.676461 137.183475171.627128 87.9878758 304.142351 247.015116 200.944087 150.687764178.811757 93.1965481 297.308609 295.679993 184.330189 109.979396227.547527 103.661083 338.880286 337.81906 161.360124 116.9125291.407425 129.828749 405.417468 318.094864 207.665198 146.544374367.484719 151.131521 522.832356 303.500491 285.77349 151.612348347.56654 198.963516 588.324319 308.45209 329.407417 197.771734

457.234074 238.120763 580.288828 324.714548 325.517694 142.643564480.512408 293.886725 605.638246 324.921246 326.562113 142.861058496.647327 276.592246 611.73265 354.26172 321.683442 149.450231548.839224 227.967738 647.8131 402.174833 357.683339 153.116158595.761896 256.717867 643.707855 472.400106 459.799683 158.557065600.726451 331.829418 598.651978 484.342395 482.439651 176.947882628.651508 395.586514 509.20984 586.951672 521.204202 174.428305648.768624 406.628642 539.857775 662.184893 579.609909 170.525412



517.217273 395.21663 540.548283 775.461845 553.155919 203.30214567.010015 417.694472 557.602425 795.214192 556.330897 265.152499628.92043 420.049324 500.247421 793.738689 564.010259 252.807594

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669.445303 498.540577 710.172989 853.222097 610.75774 437.390263723.747554 489.841739 725.534201 910.205219 641.737349 364.835489761.676369 430.779365 789.180503 905.495808 676.552894 372.191792754.589374 392.640895 842.587811 916.704591 698.424032 437.970986738.435923 337.56493 842.894256 931.219468 665.099448 474.979994716.483476 398.487442 802.67912 927.076658 653.665945 391.190415736.73351 419.613293 777.7092 934.995191 730.610677 485.235102

746.161239 504.845184 755.328922 950.637324 761.132732 543.284473745.199282 537.268062 798.926823 963.661397 833.148384 507.190968766.199133 626.295094 767.158353 966.354935 842.659866 509.426221

795.603474 654.189884 814.794024 977.427279 880.818471 521.0646835.746823 712.708074 770.236166 983.938333 885.904253 547.576789848.838489 638.70384 712.160265 988.457806 861.576791 612.891205850.740692 591.511826 717.661836 992.056526 916.204141 526.438681878.509059 597.213186 736.870865 991.532329 928.962295 516.070897

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22 23 24 25 26 2780.2847922 135.119579 127.657236 98.5405348 107.383947 99.826076795.5118682 144.621379 119.678178 66.3865142 86.199731 94.3504267117.958566 125.934256 141.336412 75.6492076 124.165514 82.0956346116.262772 126.979709 119.605012 109.47568 96.3574352 104.0656698.5444508 144.004204 137.582922 122.422627 122.405235 138.676853108.301838 185.837146 151.28673 121.957835 138.930974 177.403968126.342785 214.583358 195.427367 132.867738 95.1375375 148.854626121.745331 278.712051 177.399111 152.120846 119.155922 153.532827179.93228 232.356934 194.641319 189.275574 141.400005 187.010555

174.555683 207.781558 241.552545 204.834215 148.635605 218.325893219.225978 181.566514 178.57451 169.380732 156.874254 256.64604239.815059 189.038574 213.337794 218.826863 183.781856 312.619889229.438957 209.550143 203.054557 301.930236 256.971613 355.537881208.719537 210.951741 249.652505 354.303135 238.640095 364.568567232.348111 190.101262 260.80769 367.753864 231.416376 429.618805217.926408 137.710911 252.741914 492.207917 187.159011 474.23864

229.645095 96.7102809 274.337274 525.298705 237.468897 490.078495232.595745 133.717477 277.992782 519.195383 237.733614 563.662426265.964319 153.212888 326.827664 554.49241 281.982755 602.722077230.437595 170.991159 283.235715 510.844865 295.168867 585.575714161.371792 226.308919 321.897528 485.553191 303.268732 561.7631152.769394 170.344774 377.381142 548.380929 257.851321 636.281292177.483462 164.944586 324.464845 581.527606 230.732008 614.594447229.034981 187.373798 363.758796 665.441022 312.76205 632.216509



246.080008 240.219945 376.667699 783.737851 366.813486 671.55003322.300393 239.920865 373.535759 787.888168 350.561058 715.826586374.933737 300.872095 400.057205 828.674213 418.21214 756.912751369.303065 336.879319 430.024483 858.280763 396.475097 779.406535413.263947 327.456571 419.915539 833.257637 447.757342 783.122451369.43795 343.535195 446.425568 847.258508 481.034773 875.932993

429.877185 427.558749 475.401859 864.139589 510.102413 867.823421501.057508 488.207968 495.296279 876.842137 551.136908 908.721846493.065896 496.997156 588.002429 899.868161 585.506133 956.79071461.509816 591.462044 570.281282 941.324182 613.297809 953.495096455.135493 638.419059 605.546125 924.794241 655.813658 958.207332490.023373 633.02616 666.223192 912.70597 631.677002 957.905892505.690271 637.751051 750.315959 907.365544 684.382232 978.013608517.876254 639.405639 758.507002 911.252561 788.694398 974.732738479.295152 628.841532 758.592167 899.667477 746.291701 968.953244489.894083 681.700621 794.368483 896.756506 717.838995 972.383612

401.577036 714.446931 757.674617 867.243894 718.174633 972.988477449.625385 748.183837 765.355116 927.056586 689.833186 981.320381526.877841 848.197473 774.193254 947.166433 719.912113 979.428164586.862876 847.348425 832.483958 964.654157 749.090852 989.768273612.511988 859.933577 806.524089 985.189588 762.092732 990.053795657.252211 906.217507 823.878892 984.433543 779.517722 991.668355716.362852 911.903406 859.531991 985.008031 816.285546 990.108007753.383582 941.948616 916.179612 982.805561 796.741876 986.905797736.429201 935.210371 891.913015 983.261835 837.334698 986.594219817.21909 927.153764 901.415082 983.911964 809.646704 990.518322

837.858388 963.685473 909.32306 988.562893 856.983739 989.175933814.128313 968.261968 916.043864 993.593016 859.681037 993.170726837.088879 971.916104 898.259592 994.196844 888.947468 993.912845849.756332 975.221398 917.810977 993.917494 872.041472 991.807083830.936768 982.739849 916.231767 993.505165 853.699577 991.44155847.079231 985.186615 918.984179 995.292402 894.382967 994.253819872.253749 989.345378 909.029419 996.269493 907.133611 997.140789857.226883 987.760337 906.799435 996.605611 907.141289 997.89604862.072585 990.090131 915.380188 996.370398 922.941871 997.900061896.347993 993.060611 899.328774 996.789465 942.111237 997.937686893.26644 992.612247 911.446501 997.696241 934.269859 997.980937

912.596074 992.95965 908.826232 998.472405 942.438329 998.295081873.713296 994.629943 911.464422 998.817578 954.241096 998.754445900.424346 993.806572 944.08033 999.432634 949.986189 998.502135917.253017 996.905074 948.068635 999.351034 942.792742 998.506566917.07402 996.489309 959.310115 999.255365 946.118743 998.576887

931.555833 997.226449 956.499908 999.289076 951.133665 998.750462924.316566 997.80646 952.348625 999.229056 964.358781 998.832718939.563955 998.300499 953.392947 999.303713 968.255555 998.662079



931.253279 998.090895 958.544362 999.300289 969.263702 999.033202952.667553 998.698478 964.284482 999.425726 960.903057 999.066242952.030671 998.690403 959.681564 999.461405 969.084721 999.202482962.303866 999.091061 968.436903 999.543506 983.106285 999.616612960.782479 999.590774 977.613329 999.678814 986.075938 999.559137965.440082 999.592165 980.608617 999.719177 985.848523 999.525003

981.329272 999.77314 981.84907 999.686064 982.998948 999.366633980.797138 999.736728 977.674548 999.78212 978.902032 999.598592982.921862 999.629251 982.363652 999.871841 978.476911 999.640911984.734547 999.659461 986.490899 999.815037 979.960885 999.682982988.384282 999.693617 985.380641 999.801939 977.961923 999.699919990.403703 999.770289 982.449309 999.824228 979.903843 999.764371989.818028 999.797591 985.118408 999.816289 986.040755 999.703225992.589792 999.804569 982.633011 999.897469 984.942447 999.742059993.04302 999.846735 984.683466 999.905707 989.572258 999.758027

992.200994 999.832934 978.167773 999.915107 990.308691 999.798968

992.058773 999.859016 990.174194 999.926498 989.902832 999.78479995.487074 999.888233 984.542797 999.932923 990.493164 999.708953995.581332 999.893181 985.443045 999.924877 990.211154 999.597744994.62173 999.897498 990.756324 999.938772 989.935725 999.705749

994.017112 999.919793 990.555808 999.944722 990.073845 999.795088994.749402 999.92578 994.055093 999.935681 990.524721 999.734746995.254715 999.949576 993.476032 999.951556 987.522772 999.751451994.554174 999.943215 997.058225 999.949587 991.524175 999.83267995.124068 999.930551 996.983341 999.970389 990.177632 999.860341993.911032 999.926889 996.081418 999.970057 993.098628 999.868521991.441928 999.929773 997.033428 999.983243 994.96294 999.906925995.01769 999.945735 996.480874 999.984829 995.018472 999.896225

995.043863 999.953519 998.054305 999.987689 996.187128 999.897213996.594917 999.951818 998.649798 999.993613 998.227447 999.8732996.775495 999.93479 999.473297 999.993886 998.817568 999.862111



28 29 30 ";M:@;94.8215408 102.2326 94.5844185 110.22591090685.614175 88.7672663 106.857209 110.727412333

88.0324484 107.038187 100.380754 121.46014818477.152627 115.538529 100.967824 132.04077835

83.3268336 118.756697 112.44719 146.009355124116.730662 134.082945 116.611718 164.448183491130.900619 143.426558 108.67717 173.543606562151.845748 141.747563 99.0188062 186.198597088160.838703 173.685403 90.6407242 202.399032793161.359391 162.957172 98.5496057 227.970921914161.521598 206.925728 95.9703678 247.750242916154.612209 258.213744 91.8641414 263.609531705168.454771 229.287632 85.0492775 276.71575844117.918482 267.957594 85.9753243 296.575713247121.079672 241.619636 75.6281107 317.342637843122.667681 216.772241 75.5431842 335.915100863

100.631289 202.303492 84.2919301 357.835524987131.822328 221.082723 107.189523 379.463280126162.765252 200.689836 94.9039067 397.272466871138.884161 246.987558 121.025552 410.551245145141.597674 335.63747 149.421207 440.042902204182.182999 289.872659 153.893938 458.601337445189.828644 379.048476 177.490536 479.175550531178.818822 386.945258 133.727178 505.704969262



323.830442 415.517386 135.473755 527.365375658334.618781 472.82247 127.625314 544.077216789402.715565 481.787842 125.590864 562.910352977380.157422 502.782779 161.429334 580.754280602307.242311 532.090781 179.209949 597.681765726293.243127 540.788504 187.710014 617.476163022

351.723717 587.84552 165.07945 646.61874657401.547767 686.226923 168.567346 668.594071409437.914835 673.894945 182.005393 684.205414518472.030867 691.030358 169.019531 698.236161036440.894853 787.494884 185.844606 709.797039856447.183539 760.520872 208.786546 708.178602749503.968996 768.052219 203.718567 729.616884148451.02753 748.334 235.647189 748.574758048

538.663704 795.520575 263.546573 758.668936278551.157674 845.790883 299.845396 768.029161536

601.646318 859.298522 279.657155 775.946447726652.490565 895.561652 306.111718 787.754828525584.762595 899.455047 362.492751 804.430148787445.214392 892.003177 325.313374 807.452819085369.973616 902.781149 337.195418 814.628106977440.672883 893.022164 431.802028 832.341394926492.696544 864.418636 427.622328 845.09553858432.914343 869.903727 465.924217 850.656927307368.593412 884.825541 655.183772 862.188110781317.903286 879.62217 648.638372 860.969502122381.336693 883.417043 611.678458 878.839614338386.966228 867.396256 670.241854 888.195081582352.542801 861.693205 631.512941 892.003070224359.675733 912.46663 619.042941 899.57593455343.899722 907.64869 663.035478 905.946581427360.66358 891.197079 722.244448 916.472744573

347.959943 894.269348 749.549826 919.240999658349.573015 921.121097 785.273601 925.006307929341.885627 936.463702 779.308274 927.945748404296.696976 966.302718 766.06659 934.524769859318.833238 960.532132 769.455089 936.708797967

337.990369 962.359781 859.749386 944.105137141437.859876 966.899089 868.714957 951.695489415424.723466 971.086228 864.481695 954.325946275434.367405 968.749486 881.832362 956.053191892448.458049 963.291906 891.384213 958.253348007453.130055 955.882011 891.336856 962.118211663515.330765 966.624018 889.353671 965.569718043419.942536 968.325431 903.026869 963.624946668



490.981413 981.382603 913.546443 967.691938207557.8119 981.01138 911.852756 971.056335439

652.678468 986.915084 906.91643 974.854266889750.681617 988.888027 924.611872 980.856262724739.697473 991.260909 924.695555 981.524170669695.125558 990.76203 936.396937 980.851322851

668.611374 992.705242 942.139639 981.666071104673.232236 994.055173 941.461228 981.979814839685.505927 994.340565 943.248939 983.137838185703.812921 995.74526 965.224839 985.243470862766.822359 996.417741 974.992077 987.794989748820.861118 996.629892 973.358573 989.703899229805.327081 996.672547 977.701782 989.603917837861.567611 996.715632 978.836955 991.747140205869.091543 997.38679 980.918315 992.382269085917.595518 998.132074 982.51445 993.852872635

929.681247 998.139387 983.573227 994.738745857918.968429 999.046421 982.275502 994.212324332934.848067 999.216361 984.464321 995.06935668941.885715 999.276453 985.957637 995.597029673945.019658 999.416291 986.505482 995.726237942944.465992 999.459833 985.465057 995.987016447940.995862 999.51535 986.161015 995.789478704945.140739 999.707518 989.059303 996.460578682944.377189 999.710732 991.699365 996.383607925929.206179 999.690285 993.109423 996.122227877934.646894 999.777218 993.687433 996.210187135943.034844 999.785025 996.285871 996.962759439962.355137 999.782406 996.623484 997.773126651969.759749 999.788235 997.23996 998.422832631959.410889 999.888443 997.521077 998.219944094



parametrosN1 1200 N2 1500ala 1.5 &eta 2r1 0.05 r2 0.061O es(enario sePuia eItrema1 700 2 300

t1 1.45833333 C7.22 0.0734843 C0.43323363 0.00367598 C0.025998984 0.0001838 C0.001559965 9.1902:C006 C9.360:C0056 4.5951:C007 C5.616:C0067 2.2976:C008 C3.370:C0078 1.1488:C009 C2.022:C008

9 5.7439:C011 C1.213:C00910 2.8719:C012 C7.278:C01111 1.4360:C013 C4.367:C01212 7.1799:C015 C2.620:C01313 3.5899:C016 C1.572:C01414 1.7950:C017 C9.432:C01615 8.9748:C019 C5.659:C01716 4.4874:C020 C3.396:C01817 2.2437:C021 C2.037:C01918 1.1219:C022 C1.222:C02019 5.6093:C024 C7.335:C02220 2.8046:C025 C4.401:C02321 1.4023:C026 C2.640:C02422 7.0116:C028 C1.584:C02523 3.5058:C029 C9.506:C02724 1.7529:C030 C5.703:C02825 8.7645:C032 C3.422:C02926 4.3822:C033 C2.053:C03027 2.1911:C034 C1.232:C03128 1.0956:C035 C7.392:C03329 5.4778:C037 C4.435:C034

30 2.7389:C038 C2.661:C035

parametrosN1 1200 N2 1500ala 1.5 &eta 2r1 0.05 r2 0.061O es(enario lluia eItrema1 400 2 600

+ 1, / + 2, /



t1 C1.66666667 2.42 C0.08319907 0.14408963 C0.00415949 0.00864554 C0.00020797 0.00051873

5 C1.040:C005 3.1124:C0056 C5.199:C007 1.8674:C0067 C2.600:C008 1.1205:C0078 C1.300:C009 6.7227:C0099 C6.499:C011 4.0336:C010

10 C3.250:C012 2.4202:C01111 C1.625:C013 1.4521:C01212 C8.124:C015 8.7127:C01413 C4.062:C016 5.2276:C01514 C2.031:C017 3.1366:C016

15 C1.015:C018 1.8819:C01716 C5.077:C020 1.1292:C01817 C2.539:C021 6.7750:C02018 C1.269:C022 4.0650:C02119 C6.347:C024 2.4390:C02220 C3.173:C025 1.4634:C02321 C1.587:C026 8.7804:C02522 C7.934:C028 5.2682:C02623 C3.967:C029 3.1609:C02724 C1.983:C030 1.8966:C02825 C9.917:C032 1.1379:C02926 C4.958:C033 6.8276:C03127 C2.479:C034 4.0966:C03228 C1.240:C035 2.4579:C03329 C6.198:C037 1.4748:C03430 C3.099:C038 8.8486:C036

parametrosN1 1200 N2 1500ala 1.5 &eta 2r1 0.05 r2 0.06

1O es(enario sePuia eItrema1 700 2 300

t1 1.45833333 C7.22 0.0734843 C0.43323363 0.00367598 C0.025998984 0.0001838 C0.00155996

+ 1, / + 2, /

+ 1, / + 2, /



5 9.1902:C006 C9.360:C0056 4.5951:C007 C5.616:C0067 2.2976:C008 C3.370:C0078 1.1488:C009 C2.022:C0089 5.7439:C011 C1.213:C009

10 2.8719:C012 C7.278:C011

11 1.4360:C013 C4.367:C01212 7.1799:C015 C2.620:C01313 3.5899:C016 C1.572:C01414 1.7950:C017 C9.432:C01615 8.9748:C019 C5.659:C01716 4.4874:C020 C3.396:C01817 2.2437:C021 C2.037:C01918 1.1219:C022 C1.222:C02019 5.6093:C024 C7.335:C02220 2.8046:C025 C4.401:C023


parametrosN1 1200 N2 1500ala 1.5 &eta 2r1 0.05 r2 0.061O es(enario sePuia eItrema1 700 2 300

t1 1.45833333 C7.22 0.0734843 C0.4332336

3 0.00367598 C0.025998984 0.0001838 C0.001559965 9.1902:C006 C9.360:C0056 4.5951:C007 C5.616:C0067 2.2976:C008 C3.370:C0078 1.1488:C009 C2.022:C0089 5.7439:C011 C1.213:C009

10 2.8719:C012 C7.278:C011

+ 1, / + 2, /



11 1.4360:C013 C4.367:C01212 7.1799:C015 C2.620:C01313 3.5899:C016 C1.572:C01414 1.7950:C017 C9.432:C01615 8.9748:C019 C5.659:C01716 4.4874:C020 C3.396:C018


27 2.1911:C034 C1.232:C03128 1.0956:C035 C7.392:C03329 5.4778:C037 C4.435:C03430 2.7389:C038 C2.661:C035

MODELACION3

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