1. Jos Luis Cordeiro www.cordeiro.org The Millennium Project
Director, Nodo Venezuela Sociedad Mundial del Futuro Venezuela
Fundador, Caracas, Venezuela Singularity University Profesor, NASA
Ames, California, USA
2. www.FuturoVenezuela.net Sociedad Mundial del Futuro
VENEZUELA
3. Venezuela vs. Benesuela ? Escenarios Ingreso por habitante
en moneda constate (Indice 1977 = 100) Benesuela Venezuela
www.FuturoVenezuela.net Sociedad Mundial del Futuro VENEZUELA
4. Venezuela: entre Suiza y Hait Escenarios?
www.FuturoVenezuela.net Ingreso por habitante (US$ d el 2000 ) 1900
1950 2000 2050 2100 10 000 20 000 30 000 40 000 0 Hait? Suiza?
Venezuela Sociedad Mundial del Futuro VENEZUELA
5. World Future Society m
6. World Future Society m
7.
8. 2007 International Winners Corea 1 China 1 India 2 Mxico 7
Estados Unidos 1 Venezuela 1
9. Mientras ms rpido vamos, ms lejos necesitamos ver
www.FuturoVenezuela.net Sociedad Mundial del Futuro VENEZUELA
10. Podemos estudiar el futuro? Podemos estudiar el clima ?
Podemos estudiar las estrellas ? Podemos estudiar la Tierra ?
Podemos estudiar el pasado ? www.FuturoVenezuela.net Sociedad
Mundial del Futuro VENEZUELA
11. Del Mediterr neo al Pacfico 500 years 5000 years 50 years
??? www.FuturoVenezuela.net Sociedad Mundial del Futuro
VENEZUELA
12.
13.
14.
15.
16.
17. A new face for the world
18. A new behind for the world
19. China: (Chung Kuo)
20.
21. Singularity University
22.
23. Ray Kurzweil (MIT ): The Singularity is Near
www.singularity.com
Bill Gates
Ley de Moore
24.
25.
26.
27.
28.
29.
30.
31.
32.
33.
34. Sequencing the genome: cost and time Year Cost (US$) Time
2003 1,000,000.000 13 years 2007 100,000,000 4 years 2008 1,000,000
2 months 2009 10,000 4 weeks 2015 100 5 days
35. Android Google Phone (gPhone)
36.
37.
38.
39.
40.
41.
42. Agricultural revolution Natural resources Industrial
revolution Financial resources Knowledge revolution Human resouces
The 3 waves of Alvin Toffler
43. Japn: de sacapuntas malos a computadoras buenas en 30
aos
44. Development is faster and faster
45.
46. Energy waves : decarbonization
47. Towards a post-petroleum world British Petroleum Beyond
Petroleum
48. Jeque Yamani, 2000 Arabia Saudita
La Edad de Piedra se acab y no por falta de piedras, y la Edad
del Petrleo se acabar pronto y no por falta de petrleo.
www.FuturoVenezuela.net Sociedad Mundial del Futuro VENEZUELA
49. Tres polticas petroleras:
Del pasado (basada en precios)
Del presente (basada en volmenes)
Del futuro (basada en valor agregado)
www.FuturoVenezuela.net Sociedad Mundial del Futuro VENEZUELA
50. From manufacturing to mindfacturing
51. We need to add value
52.
Finlandia
(siglo XIX)
Pas pobre
Atrasado
Colonia
Idioma brbaro
53. Bioenergy and eternal energy
Photosynthesis:
CO 2 + 2 H 2 O + light
-> (CH 2 O) + O 2 + H 2 O
From fossil hydrocarbons to live carbohydrates
Craig Venter and his artificial bacteria
54. NASA : Space Solar Power Strategy Complete Initial R&D
for 1 MW to Full-Scale SSP 2003-2005 2006-2010 2011-2015 2016-2020
2002 Studies & Proof-of-Concept Technology Research (TRL 2-4)
Technology Research, Development and Test (TRL 4-5) Dual-Purpose
Applications R&D (TRL 4-6) Technology Demos (TRL 6-7) LEGEND
R&D Decision Point Major R&D Pgm Milestone Strategic
R&T Road Map Objective MSC 3 10 MW-Class Flight Demo (TRL 7)
Complete Initial SSP Technology Research for 1-10 MW Class to
Full-Scale Systems Complete Initial R&D for 1 MW to Full-Scale
SSP Technology Testbeds MSC 1 100 kW Class SSP flight demo 50 M
Class flight expt. (incl SPG, AR&D, dist. control)
Component-Level Flight Experiments Ground Test of SPG/WPT/Other
Breadboards Large structures for large apertures & solar sails
Component-Level Proof-of-Concept experiments High Efficiency Arrays
for S/C SSP Concept definition complete Ground Test very large
deployable structures 1 MW Class SSP advanced technology subsystem
flight demos (SPG/SEPS/WPT) High Power SEPS For Science Probes
Lunar Power, Large SEPS High-Power GEO CommSats MSC 2 10-100 kW SSP
planetary surface demo SSP Model System Concept(s) MSC 4+ (2020+)
FY99 FY00 FY01 FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11
FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 10 kW 100 kW 1 MW
55.
56. JAXA : Space Solar Power Strategy
57. Qu es el futuro?
El futuro ya no es
lo que era antes!
Lo que hoy se vive no es el acabose, sino apenas el continuose
de lo que empezose ya mucho ha.
Mafalda
www.FuturoVenezuela.net Sociedad Mundial del Futuro VENEZUELA
58. Attitudes towards the future
Passive ( ostrich ) Suffer the future
Reactive ( fire fighter ) Respond
Preactive ( insurer ) Prepare
Proactive ( builder ) Create
59.
60. Sir Arthur C. Clarke with Jose Cordeiro
61. The Three Laws of Sir Arthur C. Clarke
First Law: When a distinguished but elderly scientist states
that something is possible, he is almost certainly right. When he
states that something is impossible, he is very probably
wrong.
Second Law: The only way of discovering the limits of the
possible is to venture a little way past them into the
impossible.
Third Law: Any sufficiently advanced technology is
indistinguishable from magic.
62. Technologies of the past
30 years ago
Personal computers
20 years ago
Cell phones
10 years ago
Google
What will happen in 10 years? In 20 years? In 30 years?
Immortal (ageless) cells!
63. Physical Immortality: Death of Death 1. Reproductive cells
(good) 2. Cancer cells (bad) www.Mprize.org
64. NBIC ( N ano- B io- I nfo- C ogno) National Science
Foundation Department of Commerce
65. Neurons Cogno NBIC Bio Info Cells Technological Convergence
NBIC Nano Bits Atoms
66. Technological convergence is accelerating and everything is
information
112. Kevin Warwick: I, Cyborg www.KevinWarwick.org
113. Humans and machines! Humans or machines?
114. Marvin Minsky (MIT): Will robots inherit the earth? Yes,
but they will be us !
115. Bart Kosko, USC : Biology is not destiny. It was never
more than tendency. Biology was just nature's first quick and dirty
way to compute with meat. Chips are destiny!
116. Transhumanism is S&T for humans: transcending human
limitations www.TransHumanismo.org Are humans trans-monkeys ?
117.
118. Transhumanism, yes... but carefully Homo sapiens
sapiens
119. Superman? Christopher Reeve ( paraplegic )
120. Stephen Hawking
121. Michael J. Fox: Back to the Future
122. Ronald Reagan: Alzheimers
123. Space: the final frontier?
124. SpaceShipOne : Virgin Galactic 2011
125. The brain: the final frontier!
126. Yin-yang (and more yin-yang )
127. Light up the world
128.
129. The world is one
130. Guru Cordeiro meditating in India (Hinduism) and in Japan
(Buddhism)