7/31/2019 XV anlisis de coyuntura de Amrica Latina y el Caribe

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ZVBkdhuhu ag eixwkqwrb

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Gd sghiai ag bkdhuhu eimsgkag diu mgugu ag lwdhi b ugqhgmog ?32?+

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Ahugi< Vgrkheb Bdikui+

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7/31/2019 XV anlisis de coyuntura de Amrica Latina y el Caribe

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Bkdhuhu ag eixwkqwrb BM_HEB DBQHKB X EB_HOG LWDHI - UGQHGMO_G ?32? ?

2+ Gd ebmhki ag db sb|

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?33? x ?322+ Gk guqg iagk ag hagbu$ db mivhdh|behk si db sb|qbmohk jb qgkhai awbkqg gd sgiai ag bkdhuhu wkb gdgvbkqgeikegkqbehk gk miqhviu ag gejb|i bd ugewguqi x dbugqgkehikgu bohqbhbu+ Bu$ gd ebmohi gzsghmgkqbai eikuhuqg gkwkb mbxi eikegkqbehk gk gd gejb|i b dbu uhqwbehikgugdbehikbabu eik db vhidgkehb x gd eikfdheqi bmbai$ gk eikqbuqg

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x gqgkehikgu$ abkai ewgkqb ag db sisgkuhk ag db hkuqhqwehi-

Bkdhuhu ag eixwkqwrb BM_HEB DBQHKB X EB_HOG LWDHI - UGQHGMO_G ?32? :

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7/31/2019 XV anlisis de coyuntura de Amrica Latina y el Caribe

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kbdhaba sodheb b hkeisib gk uwu ahuewuiu gd qgmb ag db sb|+ Siiqb sbqg$ db mivhdh|behk uiehbd jb vhuqi$ awbkqg gd sgiaibkbdh|bai$ db gmgngkehb ag ugeqigu uiehbdgu eimi veqhmbu$siodbaigu wobkiu x mwlggu+

Gk wk eikqgzqi mu bmsdhi$ guqiu nbkagu ebmohiu gusikagkb dbu ahkmhebu agd eikfdheqi bmbai$ b diu guegkbhiu ag

kgniehbehk rwg ug bogk i ug ehgbk eik diu beqigu bmbaiuhdgnbdgu$ x buhmhumi b dbu qgkuhikgu rwg gmgngk ag dbu sidqhebuag diu niohgkiu gk qwki$ bu eimi ag dbu siuqwbu ag diu ugeqiguuiehbdgu fgkqg b db nwgb x db vhidgkehb$ eikfhnwbkai bu wkebmsi eimsdgli x eikfdheqhvi+

Db sb| eimi ebmsi ag db sidqheb

Gd siegui ag mivhdh|behk si db sb| ug hkuehog gk gd sieguisidqhei agd sbu+ Gd sgiai rwg brw ug boiab ab ewgkqb ag dbu

nbkagu vbhbehikgu gk gd ebeqg ag db mivhdh|behk aguag fhkbdguag diu biu 83$ sgi di gdgvbkqg gk gddi gu eikuhagb db eikgzhkgzhuqgkqg gkqg guqiu aiu guegkbhiu$ gd ag db sb| x gd ag db sidqheb+

Db egehgkqg mivhdh|behk uiehbd ag fhkbdgu ag uhndi *vg Nfhei2( eihkehab bmsdhbmgkqg gk wkb ubdhab sidqheb x kgniehbab agd

eikfdheqi bmbai+ Ag jgeji$ gd Mbkabqi Ehwababki si db Sb| 7

bqbli b 23 mhddikgu ag uwfbnbkqgu gk dbu mgubu ag viqbehk ag288>$ eimi wkb edbb mwguqb ag db ishkhk ehwababkb gk brwgdgkqikegu+ Qbd ishkhk fbvigeh gk uwu bushbehikgu sguhagkehbdgu*288:( bd ebkahabqi Bkau Sbuqbkb Bbkni$ rwhgk gkfbqh| gk uwahuewui gdgeqibd gd qgmb ag db sb|+ Gd siegui ag kgniehbehk gk

Ebnwk gkqg 2888 x ?33? gsgugkq hkhehbdmgkqg guqb ubdhab$sgi bd ug wk siegui fbddhai vide 2:3 nbaiu db ishkhk sodheb$rwg eikuhag db ubdhab kgniehbab wk gewui bniqbai x sgfhhgewh b db vb mhdhqb sbb guidvg gd eikfdheqi+ Ag miai rwg sbbdbu gdgeehikgu sguhagkehbdgu ag ?33?$ db fbvibohdhaba agdgdgeqibai fwg sbb dvbi Whog Vdg|$ rwg gkboid gd ahuewuiag db ugnwhaba x gd bkhrwhdbmhgkqi ag db hkuwngkehb0 ewbqi biuki fwgik uwfhehgkqgu$ si di rwg db gsgqhehk hkmgahbqb agsgiai sguhagkehbd fwg gd nbk gusbdabb|i ag db ishkhkkbehikbd b db siswguqb ag Whog+

Db mivhdh|behk si db sb| ag db shmgb aebab agd kwgvi uhndi

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Bkdhuhu ag eixwkqwrb BM_HEB DBQHKB X EB_HOG LWDHI - UGQHGMO_G ?32? 8

7 Gd Qhgmsi *288>$ 27 ag bohd($ Ug bog sbui Mbkabqi Ehwababki si db Sb| Pgk dkgb]$ ahusikhodg gk< jqqs:85$gewsgbai< ?? ag bniuqi ag ?32?+

6 Wkb bmsdhb eikviebqihb si dbu gagu vhqwbdgu sbb gd 1 ag fgogi ag ?33: mbe wk jhqi ag guqbu mivhdh|behikgu gk Eidimohb+ Gd Qhgmsi *?33:$ 52 ag gkgi($ Db mbejbagd 1 ag fgogi eikqb dbu fbe kbeh eimi wk fii gk hkqgkgq x xb guq gk 265 ehwabagu Pgk dkgb]$ ahusikhodg gk< jqqs

7/31/2019 XV anlisis de coyuntura de Amrica Latina y el Caribe

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sbqg ag dbu Fbe-gs 6$ si wk dbai$ x agkwkehb ag uhqwbehikgu aghkugnwhaba x vhidgkehb ngkgbdh|bab$ x buguhkbqiu$ mbubegu xagubsbhehikgu$ si gd iqi *vg Nfhei 5(+ Db shmgb$ ag ebeqgmu wobki0 db ugnwkab$ mu wbd+ Db shmgb$ jbehgkai gei agdahuewui ifhehbd ag agusguqhnhi ag db hkuwngkehb0 db ugnwkab$ gkdb vi| ag ugeqigu uiehbdgu mbnhkbaiu x veqhmbu agd eikfdheqi+

Guqbu fwg|bu ug agobqhgik ag kwgvi

gk ?323$ ewbkai diu guwdqbaiu b fbvi agLwbk Mbkwgd Ubkqiu ahgik ewgkqb ag dbsguhuqgkehb ag db ishkhk b fbvi ag dbsidqheb ag ugnwhaba dhagbab si uwbkqgegui+ Sgi aguag gd mhumi ahuewui agsiuguhk ag Ubkqiu>$ db ishkhk ug vhiuisgkahab eik db hkqgkehikbdhaba agdgehk gdgeqi sguhagkqg ag bvbk|b gk gd qgmb ag sb|+ Gddi bohwk kwgvi guegkbhi sidqhei gk gd ewbd diu ugeqigu bfgeqiu b dbubdhab kgniehbab bwmgkqbik gd vidwmgk ag uwu agmbkabu$ ghkedwui ugeqigu sidqheiu bdhkgbaiu eik gd whohumi jix ug

gbnwsbk gk qiki b db wkhaba kbehikbd siswguqb si gd beqwbdmbkabqbhi$ gusbdakaidi gk uwu sgqgkuhikgu x uwnhhgkaibahehikbdmgkqg wkb siuhodg ggdgeehk:+ Db dgnhudbehk gk mbqghbag sb|$ hmswdubab si gd niohgki ag Ubkqiu *eimi gd Mbei

Lwahei sbb db Sb|$ db Dgx ag Veqhmbu x _guqhqwehk ag Qhgbu$ dbgfimb b db Dgx ag Lwuqhehb x Sb|($ ab shuqb b guqb hkqgkehkggdgeehikhuqb+

Bu$ gk gd wmobd agd sgiai eimhehbd sbb gd ?321$ x bohgqbueikvgubehikgu gzsdibqihbu gkqg gd Niohgki x dbu Fbe$ gdahuewui ag db sb| ug sikg ag kwgvi gk gd guegkbhi eimi

hkuqwmgkqi ag db sidqheb gdgeqibd+ Db

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qiabvb ki eikuhagb b Ubkqiu eimi agsiuhqbhi ag uw viqi x uweikfhbk|b+ Dbu vbhbehikgu gk guqbu siuhehikgu vbk b agsgkag agdiu bvbkegu x guwdqbaiu gk dbu sidqhebu ag niohgki$ x ag diudiniu gk gd guegkbhi ag ahdiniu rwg ug jbk bohgqi+ Iqbu

isehikgu sguhagkehbdgu rwg uwlbk gk gd ebmhki qgkak rwgodbkah uwu bnwmgkqiu ag nwgb x sb| fgkqg b diu ugeqigu agishkhk uh rwhggk bushb b uidhi gk gd szhmi sgiai+

Bkdhuhu ag eixwkqwrb BM_HEB DBQHKB X EB_HOG LWDHI - UGQHGMO_G ?32? 23

Iqbu isehikgu sguhagkehbdgu rwguwlbk gk gd ebmhki qgkak rwg odbkah

uwu bnwmgkqiu ag nwgb x sb| fgkqg b

diu ugeqigu ag ishkhk uh rwhggk

bushb b uidhi gk gd szhmi sgiai+

> _gvhuqb Ugmbkb *?323$ > ag bniuqi($ Ahuewui eimsdgqi ag siuguhk ag Lwbk Mbkwgd Ubkqiu Pgk dkgb]$ ahusikhodg gk< jqqs8?-5+busz$ gewsgbai< ?? ag bniuqi ag ?32?+

: Ahbhi Db Ishkhk *?32?$ 2> ag bniuqi($ Ug mwgvgk diu bsixiu sbb db ggdgeehk ag Ubkqiu Pgk dkgb]$ ahusikhodg gk< jqqs)iiq)gahehikgu-bkqghigu)hqgm)??1-sid'E5'BAqheb-x-mivhdh|beh'E5'O5k-si-db-sb|-gk-eidimohb $ gewsgbai< 23 ag ieqwog ag ?32?+

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