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ACTIVIDAD PRONOSTICOS SED

GLADYS CECILIA GONZÁLEZ GONZÁLEZ

ASESOR: MANUEL ALBERTO RICO PINTO

FUNDACIÓN UNIVERSITARIA PANAMERICAFACULTAD DE CIENCIAS EMPRESARIALE

ADMINISTRACIÓN DE EMPRESASBOGOTÁ, COLOMBIA2016

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16   2010   1820.75 103.8217   2030   1984.37 145.6818   2135   2060.02 96.6619   2525   2141.50 86.0420   2345   2435.76 231.7921   2450   2441.77 73.74

22   2555   2469.65 41.6423   2660   2541.89 63.0624   2815   2643.48 90.0325   2870   2790.56 129.9626   2975   2885.15 105.2127   3250   2979.61 97.6828   3185   3198.19 182.3129   3290   3243.65 86.5230   3395   3302.05 66.8431   3500   3387.17 79.63

32  3650

  3490.04 95.9033   3710   3630.78 127.2934   3875   3724.42 103.7335   4015   3860.95 126.6936   4025   4006.79 140.1037   4230   4061.57 80.3738   4235   4203.58 123.5239   4360   4262.63 78.3940   4620   4354.31 87.6941   4550   4566.60 174.9142   4655   4607.45 81.0743   4760   4665.06 64.6444   4865   4750.91 79.4945   5025   4854.62 96.4446   5075   5002.82 132.6747   5180   5093.15 103.0348   5225   5184.85 95.1049   5390   5241.49 68.1750   5520   5365.90 107.5451   5825   5506.03 130.3652   5705   5768.42 222.78

53   5810   5790.86 82.5454   5915   5829.02 51.4855   6020   5904.65 68.3856   6125   6005.91 91.4057   6850   6116.69 104.9758   6335   6661.50 412.8559   6785   6556.81 50.57

60   6925   6731.71 137.61

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 Y=aX+b

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3348900

107.46 211.72107.46 211.72

Beta 0.7

Ft E SED !St " aD t#1$ %1# a& %St#1 $ Gt#1&

319.19 5.81 !Gt " b%St # St#1& $ %1# b& Gt#1

433.57 48.57 '()n*st+,)- Ft t$t " S t $ t Gt486.08 73.92660.56 4.44788.58 18.58891.38 16.38

987.69 7.691086.32 1.321188.76 68.761210.30 84.701380.76 19.241514.83 9.831623.73 13.731723.17 8.171822.50 2.50

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1924.57 85.432130.05 100.052156.67 21.672227.54 297.462667.55 322.552515.51 65.51

2511.29 43.712604.95 55.052733.52 81.482920.52 50.522990.36 15.363077.29 172.713380.50 195.503330.16 40.163368.88 26.123466.80 33.20

3585.94 64.063758.07 48.073828.16 46.843987.64 27.364146.89 121.894141.94 88.064327.10 92.104341.02 18.984442.00 178.004741.51 191.514688.52 33.524729.70 30.304830.40 34.604951.06 73.945135.49 60.495196.18 16.185279.96 54.965309.66 80.345473.44 46.565636.39 188.615991.19 286.19

5873.40 63.405880.50 34.505973.03 46.976097.31 27.696221.66 628.347074.35 739.356607.38 177.62

6869.32 55.68

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MAD 92.44

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